Bond Outlook February 17 2010

The bond market went quiet last week because of lost working days. The issue of liquidity may be temporarily resolved, but next week will determine if normality has returned.

A week truncated by various holidays has meant that bond markets have been operating at lower volumes with fewer new issues (not least because many have been pulled), for which liquidity has again been sufficient. Whether the reduction of liquidity, identified last week, returns will be seen over the coming days. In the meantime, apparently contradictory headlines “Foreign demand falls for Treasuries” and “Investors rush to quit junk bonds” imply a search for safety in the only place left: high-quality corporates.

There has been a parallel pause in forex movements.

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