Against the Tide: US economy: Chickens and eggs

Inflation is set to feed into the US economy, with destructive effects. But the beginning of the process won’t be the consumer slowdown that so many expect.

An economic recession in the US is drawing closer. Ironically, the main road to economic recession will be through higher inflation. Higher inflation will cause a growth slowdown and that slowdown will accelerate inflation, at least for a while – so which is the chicken and which is the egg?

The recession won’t come from a traditional, consumer-led slowdown, as some believe. Right now, US wage income is far too strong for the doughty US consumer to pack up.

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