Some of the brightest investors I know are stubbornly long the US dollar and have been selling the euro, in vain. Five and a half years after Lehman Brothers went bankrupt, the Federal Reserve is still keeping interest rates at emergency levels. It seems new Fed chairman Janet Yellen is not inclined to raise rates soon.
The world is awash with liquidity. Most intelligent investors recognize this, but are too frightened to step away. A senior executive at one of the biggest European insurance groups confessed to me that the firm had €40 billion of cash to invest this year.
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