Stretching Hungary’s debt

A declining budget deficit and rising savings have given Hungarian corporates their first chance to launch medium-term domestic bonds. Will any of them follow the lead of Pannon? Henry Copeland reports

If economists fret when governments crowd out corporate borrowers, Hungary offers an example of what happens when the government retreats and corporates rush into the debt markets. In theory, the result should be pleasant. The reality, at least in Hungary, is less simple.

The Hungarian government’s deficit surged throughout the 1990s, rising from nothing at the beginning of the decade, to Ft378 billion ($2.1 billion) in 1995 ­ the equivalent of 6.9% of GDP. Last year the government began to cut spending while economic growth boosted tax revenues, so much so that the deficit declined to Ft225 billion (3.3%

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