Tomorrow, we get serious

Turkey's banks are among the most profitable in the world. Why? Because the government rewards them royally for getting Turkish citizens to pay for its debt. But this game is coming to an end. And the banks know they must sharpen up and do some real banking. David Shirreff reports

Barnstorming bureaucrats

A senior Turkish banker, at breakfast in the courtyard of Istanbul’s most famous prison – now the Four Seasons Hotel – considers the banking sector’s addiction to the government securities market. “It’s like a Prozac pill,” he says, attacking a brioche in the brilliant October sunshine.

Even after depreciation against the dollar, three-month Turkish treasury bills can yield a 30% annual return. This has been going on since 1985, with a brief blip in 1994 when the lira fell 85.8%

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