The fourth generation of central banking

Central bankers have been the financial market heroes of the past two decades, for asserting independence from profligate politicians, conquering inflation and resolving financial crises not of their own making. But they have managed themselves out of a job. And what lies ahead for the next generation is frustration and loss of influence.

By Adam Posen

THE 1990s WERE a golden age for central bankers, if not for central banking. The vast majority of central banks gained independence to set monetary policy, and in some cases the goals of monetary policy, free from political control. The priority of maintaining price stability attracted widespread support and the disinflation of the 1980s was largely consolidated.

With a nearly global movement towards efforts at fiscal consolidation, monetary policy became the primary instrument of economic stabilization.

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