Bond Outlook by bridport & cie, May 11 2011

Consider the parallel between the USA and China today and the USA and UK of yesteryear. Massive indebtedness of one country another implies ceding much power to the creditor nation.

Bond Outlook

In the space of only a week, the prices of many commodities have fallen sharply, and then, to varying degrees, staged similarly dramatic recoveries, causing a modest bounce in the USD, and a decline in Treasury yields. We see these events as short-lived “saw-tooth” movements in the secular decline of the dollar and the long-term appreciation of commodity prices, as well as a reminder of the inherent volatility of commodities when the financial muscle of speculators is so much greater than those who use the markets for conventional hedging purposes.

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