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US commercial real estate: Storm in a teacup or next shoe to drop?

Fears were already growing about dangers lurking in US commercial real estate even before the wave of turmoil that has hit banks in the last two months. After the pandemic and a rush of rate hikes, there is little debate that the sector is at a turning point – the question is whether something worse is on the horizon.

EDITOR'S PICKS

The bank has started the process of choosing a successor to CEO James Gorman just as it tries to settle an investigation into its equity block trading practices. This could pose a challenge for Ted Pick.
Fears were already growing about dangers lurking in US commercial real estate even before the wave of turmoil that has hit banks in the last two months. After the pandemic and a rush of rate hikes, there is little debate that the sector is at a turning point – the question is whether something worse is on the horizon.
The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank has fuelled an abrupt end to venture-capital exuberance. There are vital implications for fintech and for the banking industry.
US banks have seen $1.1 trillion in deposits flee the system over the past year. Much of this wound up in money-market funds that offer higher returns and the promise of safety and stability at a time of rising uncertainty. How dangerous is this for US lenders, and what can they do to convince flighty deposits to return to the banking system?
Opinion
How on earth, in this environment, did the bank deliver one of its best-ever quarters in Asia?
Pouncing on a firm with lots of corporate broking relationships at the low point for IPOs is a smart trade.
Could trading of US sovereign credit default swaps trigger a global systemic meltdown? Probably not, but default swap shenanigans aren’t helping to calm jittery markets.
If the UK is to become an international crypto hub, it must focus on bringing regulatory certainty to the industry and the banks that back it.
Long Reads / Mag / Most Read / Ad

Long Reads / Mag / Most Read / Ad

As default looms, Argentina’s fiscal discipline slides

The country’s economy was already weak before a serious drought hit. Now it is broke, and the question in Buenos Aires isn’t whether finance minister Sergio Massa can muddle through to the presidential election at the end of October, it is whether he can make it to the primaries in August before a full-blown financial crisis.

Banking: Indonesia in the sweet spot

Indonesia is one of the world’s brighter prospects right now: growth, demographics, infrastructure momentum, inflation under control, more equity raised in the first quarter in Jakarta than New York. Banks are positioning to benefit – while keeping an eye on next year’s elections.

Bank deposit flight and the US money-market fund supremacy

US banks have seen $1.1 trillion in deposits flee the system over the past year. Much of this wound up in money-market funds that offer higher returns and the promise of safety and stability at a time of rising uncertainty. How dangerous is this for US lenders, and what can they do to convince flighty deposits to return to the banking system?
ESG

Is Jordan ready for sustainable finance?

Jordan Kuwait Bank has issued the country’s first green bond, a key milestone for sustainability driven capital investments in the country. But getting momentum going in the sector will be an uphill battle.
What They Said

WHAT THEY SAID

Mark Mullen, chief executive of Atom Bank, has no doubt that the impact of fintech on the banking sector is only just getting started
Som-lok Leung, executive director of the IACPM expects to see rising rates hit credit availability
Lonnie Hendry, head of CRE and advisory services at Trepp, says that the CRE story is more nuanced than it appears
Shelly Antoniewicz, senior director at ICI, warns that proposed changes to deposit insurance carry hidden costs
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