Colombia: S&P upgrade confirms sovereign’s rise
Reflects long-standing de facto situation; Not expected to change investor base
Juan Carlos Echeverry: upgrade is a vote of confidence in Colombia
Colombia’s finance minister responded to Standard & Poor’s decision to upgrade the country’s credit rating to investment grade by saying that the country would deal actively with any "excessive wave" of dollar inflows.
Juan Carlos Echeverry told local media that the rating upgrade was a vote of confidence in the country, which joins Brazil, Mexico, Chile and Peru as investment grade, but that "I would expect we have sufficient instruments to guarantee stability", suggesting the government is braced for fresh international funds heating the economy and exchange rate.
However, Carlos Lopez, a director in Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s Latin American debt capital markets group, thinks the news is more important to the rating agency than to the country. "Since Colombia is trading as an investment-grade country already, it’s going to help S&P be more active in the country – overall what we expect is more issuers will use S&P because they won’t be constrained as much as before by this rating agency’s country ceiling. This is an issue of the rating agency lagging the market, and now they are just agreeing with what the market has been saying for quite a while now."