How the supply-chain crisis is changing banking
Global supply-chain bottlenecks have profound implications for how and where companies will fund their operations in the future. As the lines of ships lengthen outside ports, there’s a macroeconomic cost for banks weighing on loan demand and perhaps asset quality. However, some trade and logistics financing businesses that were previously on the margins of banking are now seizing their moment.
Supply-chain bottlenecks have become one of the defining features of the Covid era. This is a problem for both the global economy and the global financial sector. And with new strains of the coronavirus continually emerging, it could get worse.
The impact is felt throughout the banking system, firstly by pulling down what might otherwise have been a relatively vigorous appetite for new loans among business clients. Thanks to loan moratoriums and other government support, banks have got through the last two years relatively unscathed. But supply-chain issues, even at the margin, could reverse this.
The hope remains that these issues will be temporary and that demand for loans will eventually accelerate. There were some signs of an easing of constraints during the second half of 2021.
However, transport and logistics experts warn that global supply chains won’t be returning to their smoother and cheaper pre-pandemic forms anytime soon, especially given fears about the new Omicron Covid strain.
“Most of our clients are now in a position where they are seeing demand picking up,” says Andy Halford, Standard Chartered’s chief financial officer, describing a situation that persisted throughout 2021.