Bond markets: Local-currency opportunities

While credit is one source of alpha for emerging markets investors, another is local currencies and bonds. For mainstream emerging markets funds, moreover, investing in local-currency securities is easier and, arguably, more sensible than taking exposure in credit instruments, where liquidity is at premium.

Investors bet on emerging market alpha

As external debt markets are shrinking, local-currency bond markets are growing. This is partly being driven by bond exchanges as sovereign borrowers reduce their external debt for local-currency issues. Rapid development of domestic pension funds and other local investor bases is also acting as a spur. Another big influence is “soaring demand from foreign investors,” according to Mike Conelius, emerging markets portfolio manager at T Rowe Price. Many of these buyers are long-term institutional investors, such as pension funds and insurers.

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