Reflation trade losers rush for the exits

Investors panicked last month as fear spread that the US Federal Reserve would soon hike rates. Momentum players of the global reflation trade rushed to unwind positions in high-yield markets. Borrowers were forced to pull deals. The panic subsided as quickly as it arose and the sell-off failed to engulf global markets this time. What happens next?

Bond markets – Few places to hide

Asia – Panic sellers ignore fundamentals

Russia – Local causes of a vicious correction

Fund managers – Investors turn defensive

Equity market – Earnings might outstrip rate rises

Latin America – A region immune to volatility

Bond markets
Few places to hide

Graham Neilson, ABN Amro’s global head of credit strategy, is emphatic. “This isn’t 1997 again, and it isn’t 2001 again. It is 1993/94, and the comparison is not lost on the market,” he says.

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