Investors converge on Hungary
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Investors converge on Hungary

Fixed-income investors are piling into Hungary, gambling that interest rates will fall as it prepares for accession to the European Union. But is their enthusiasm justified? Charles Olivier reports.

The trouble with Postabank


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To syndicate heads in London and Frankfurt, it seemed like an act of suicidal machismo. The day after the Brazilian real had been devalued the Hungarian State Treasury launched the first ever 10-year local currency bond out of eastern Europe - a Ft12.5 billion ($58 million) domestic transaction which it hoped would be bought by European investors looking for yield.

"Totally insane," was the comment of one bond salesman when told that the deal was going ahead. The following morning, Laszlo Borbery, head of the Hungarian debt management agency, rushed to his office to discover the humiliating news - the issue had been six-times over-subscribed.

Growing reputation

The deal's success underlines Hungary's growing reputation among international investors. Following the Russian devaluation, almost every eastern European fund has increased its Hungarian weighting. Julius Baer Investment Fund Services, for example, now has 41% of its $40 million Co-op Central Europe fund invested in Hungary - up from 29% at the beginning of 1998.

"The new government [which came to office last year] has continued the sensible economic policies of the previous regime.


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