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Banking

Inside investment: Flip-flopping to double-dip?

Ultimately, the deficit must be repaid. But changing demographics and larger savings pools suggest relatively high levels of government indebtedness might be sustainable in the short and medium term. The bigger risk is that austerity plunges a credit-constrained world into a nasty double-dip recession.

People crave clear narratives. The first series of NBC’s TV show ­Heroes was showered with Emmys, Golden Globes and Baftas. It could be summed up in six words: “Save the cheerleader, save the world.” On April 2 2009 the G20 communiqué gifted to markets another simple narrative. It promised among other things: “to restore confidence, growth and jobs”, “repair the financial system” and “an unprecedented and concerted fiscal expansion”. This helped the global economy heal after the great recession and equity markets to rally faster than at any time since the 1930s.

The final series of Heroes, which was canned in May, was rather more confusing. It was populated by strange carny-folk who looked like extras in a Nick Cave video directed by Terry Gilliam.

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