Sub-Saharan Africa 2015: Success story of the millennium?
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Sub-Saharan Africa 2015: Success story of the millennium?

Optimism continues to surround Sub-Saharan Africa’s growth prospects, despite current worries linked to falling oil prices and China’s slowdown.

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MANY TALK OF this being China’s century, yet over the past 15 years Sub-Saharan Africa has run the People’s Republic close. To some, this region, once impoverished and war-torn, now one of the most optimistic places around, can even claim to be the economic success story of the new millennium. Gross domestic product across the region has grown by an average of more than 5% a year since 2000, according to data from the World Bank, buoyed by better governance, the spread of democratic principles and economic reforms. 

Democracy has gone hand in hand with deregulation and market liberalization, opening once-closed markets to unfettered enterprise. In 1989, just three regional economies were considered even partly democratic. By 2014, according to the US non-governmental organization Freedom House, that number had risen to 22. And the direction remains positive. In 2012, the reformist Augustin Ponyo was elected premier of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC); on the final day of March 2015, Nigerian president Goodluck Jonathan made way for Muhammadu Buhari in the country’s first democratic transition of power.

Tricky year ahead

Yet the data suggest that this is likely to be a tricky year for Sub-Saharan Africa.

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