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EuromoneyFXNews.com

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May 2011

May 2011

Papa, Ghizzoni, and Mustier: UniCredit’s new guard fights to revive its empire

Euromoney May 2011

After a few difficult years, culminating in the resignation of its long-serving chief executive, Italy’s biggest lender is hoping for a fresh start. But plenty of hurdles still need to be overcome if it is ever to reassume its position as one of Europe’s leading banks. Sudip Roy talks to UniCredit’s new management about its recovery plans.

Banking

Which banks are too big for their borders? Monsters remain unleashed

Euromoney May 2011

Bank chiefs have finally accepted that their hopes of a level regulatory playing field will remain forlorn. US bankers are up in arms about Europe’s treatment of risk-weighted assets. Europe’s banks face a fault line, where they operate internationally but risk being penalized for the relative size of their balance sheets to national GDP. What does the future hold for banks that could be too big for their borders? Peter Lee reports.

Foreign exchange

FX 2011: Banks take fight to the algo traders

Euromoney May 2011

Electronic trading has transformed foreign exchange into a $4 trillion a day flow monster, delivering record revenues to those with scale. But by focusing on building their own internal platforms, banks have left themselves open to attack from the high-frequency traders, who pick them off at will and force them to hold more risk. Now the banks are fighting back. Hamish Risk reports.

Euromoney FX survey 2011: Buy side excited by multiple choice

Euromoney May 2011

The dominance of the top-three FX banks is being challenged by the chasing pack of dealers. It isn’t just a case of luring clients onto their internal trading platforms. Clients want different things, and multi-dealer exchanges are beginning to prosper. Tom Osborn reports.

Euromoney FX survey 2011: HSBC raises its game

Euromoney May 2011

When Euromoney calls to book appointments with the heads of the top 10 FX banks before the results of this year’s poll appear, the typical response from their press officers is: “Can we get back to you, he is travelling in Asia right now.” This tells you all you need to know about growth in the foreign exchange markets, with Asia as its new frontier.

Euromoney FX survey 2011: Results index

Euromoney May 2011

Africa

Investment banks eye the last frontier: Africa

Euromoney May 2011

African deals are increasing in number but what is the best way for investment banks to get involved? Dominic O’Neill finds out what the key players in Johannesburg, London and Dubai are thinking.

Bidding wars intensify for Africa’s key assets

Euromoney May 2011

Africa has much to tempt a growing economy, and China has the money to pay for access to the resources it needs and wants. But it is not the only country with an eye on the continent. Nick Kochan reports.

For sale: Nedbank still on the block

Euromoney May 2011

Nedbank’s owners are still looking for a buyer, after the failure of a deal for HSBC to buy the South African bank last year.

Credit

US CLOs revive as loan markets surge

Euromoney May 2011

The collateralized loan obligation market has been one of the surprise recovery stories of the past year. US managers are reappraising the opportunities it provides. Will the revival continue, and can it catch on in Europe? Joti Mangat reports.

Emerging Europe

Euromoney best-managed companies in Central and Eastern Europe 2011: CEZ heads a diverse field

Euromoney May 2011

Power, mining and energy companies dominate Euromoney’s annual survey of the best companies in CEE, but diversity is increasing as markets mature

Russian capital markets: Climate change

Euromoney May 2011

Russia’s underdeveloped capital markets are on track for much-needed modernization. However an arcane legal system and entrenched attitudes could yet put a brake on the pace of reform. Lucy Fitzgeorge-Parker reports.

CEE: Work in progress

Euromoney May 2011

After decades of neglect, infrastructure in central and eastern Europe is in urgent need of upgrading. Now projects across the region are on hold in the wake of the global downturn. Lucy Fitzgeorge-Parker talks to the public- and private-sector bankers trying to get the market back on its feet.

Kazakhstan: Putting the spring back into the steppe

Euromoney May 2011

The global credit crunch and associated economic downturn hit Kazakhstan hard. But there is growing evidence that the country is back on the path to recovery. Guy Norton reports from Almaty.

Asia

Infrastructure funding gap hobbles Mongolia’s sprint to prosperity

Euromoney May 2011

The nation’s gold, coal and iron-ore reserves are making it the world’s fastest-growing investment destination. But a lack of infrastructure funding and planning threatens to derail the country’s rapid transformation. Lawrence White reports from Ulaan Baatar.

Middle East

Qatar prepares to step up to an EM benchmark

Euromoney May 2011

Qatar’s accession to the MSCI Emerging Markets index would open it up to new investment inflows and might prompt a liberalization of other equity markets in the region. Chris Wright reports.

Saudi banks face up to further consolidation

Euromoney May 2011

Five years after Saudi banks saw their investment banking and asset management arms split from their commercial banks, the sector is still finding its feet. Three of the firms that got a head start tell Chris Wright how the battle for market share is likely to play out.

Latin America

Argentine credit: Argentina tempers optimism with uncertainty

Euromoney May 2011

Strong growth and the government’s debt swap to holdouts have opened the bond markets to the country’s private sector. But October’s presidential election is already stirring uncertainty. Rob Dwyer reports.

Banking news

Regulation: New rules promote a shadow banking system

Euromoney May 2011

Basle III unpopular with bank bondholders; Regulators insist system will be safer

Goldman Sachs: Earnings not enough to quell investor concerns

Euromoney May 2011

Senate committee report might deter clients; Stock price under pressure

Risk management: Slow progress getting best practice

Euromoney May 2011

Ernst & Young survey reveals mixed results; Good news on risk governance, liquidity and funding

Market news

Contingent convertibles: Banks rebut case for CoCo market triggers

Euromoney May 2011

Tier 1 ratio or market solvency triggers?; Bankers fear proposal would create volatility

Is US covered bond legislation finally in sight?

Euromoney May 2011

Geithner supports move; Foreign issuance into dollar market increases

Monoline insurers: CDS rally could prompt more monoline pain

Euromoney May 2011

Hedging hit may spread to other banks; BlackRock findings reinvigorate lawsuit

Foreign exchange: Gold evolves as a currency

Euromoney May 2011

Seen as hedge to currency debasement; Integrated FX and metals pricing adds advantage

Foreign exchange: The house of Deutsche: 10 years of the euro

Euromoney May 2011

European banks benefit from euro introduction; Spurs consolidation of market share

Asia news

Exchanges: Böcker blocked by nixed ASX deal

Euromoney May 2011

Australian Treasury stops exchange takeover; Nasdaq, CME possible alternative partners

Japan: In spite of its troubles, equities undervalued

Euromoney May 2011

Market seen as good value after protracted underperformance and earthquake; But care needed in finding recovery potential

Agencies: Fitch drops Japan regional bank rating

Euromoney May 2011

Reasons for withdrawal not stated; Culmination of agency’s bearishness on sector

China: Dim sum fever leaves investors starving for yield

Euromoney May 2011

Unilever prices just over 1%; Renminbi IPO in HK meets caution

Latin America news

Equity capital markets: Tough IPO conditions still a barrier to entry

Euromoney May 2011

Mixed fortunes for IPOs; Credit Suisse maintains dominance

Brazil: Itaú wins Carrefour as government fights bubble

Euromoney May 2011

Extensive retail finance acquisition; Sector still strong despite government curbs

Regulation: IIF fears impact of regulation on Latin American banks

Euromoney May 2011

Universal capital requirements might hinder banks; Investors less concerned about risk

Syndicated loans: Vale loan speaks volumes

Euromoney May 2011

European banks target Latin America

EEMEA news

Turkey: Bankers and state collide on reserve ratios

Euromoney May 2011

CEOs oppose increased reserve ratios; Threats to banks exceeding loan limits

Africa: SA commercials take a shine to their neighbours

Euromoney May 2011

First Rand in Nigeria acquisition talks; Absa, Barclays Africa in new integration push

Belarus: Russia crucial to quashing devaluation fears

Euromoney May 2011

Current account deficit key economic weakness; Government spending promises add to woes

Kazakhstan: Compass seeks new direction with fresh funds

Euromoney May 2011

Middle East: Gulf investment banking in new low

Euromoney May 2011

Fewer prestige buyouts by state funds; International investors wary of political risk

Comment

Might banks cook their risk books in the heat of the moment?

Euromoney May 2011

Tiny adjustments on inputs can produce big benefits on capital ratios: the temptation to manipulate is obvious.

CEE needs to play the Asia card

Euromoney May 2011

The region’s economic growth is healthy but over-reliant on the rest of Europe. Asia beckons.

Sovereign debt: Portugal needs a new compass

Euromoney May 2011

The country faces more than a liquidity crisis; a fiscal restructuring of the economy is required.

Fannie and Freddie: Will foreign agencies fill the gap?

Euromoney May 2011

The fee hiatus left by Fannie and Freddie will be filled. But not just yet.

Credit market’s taste for the toxic returns

Euromoney May 2011

Having spurned AIG’s approach, the New York Fed is under pressure to achieve top dollar.

Africa’s new Brics: Angola, Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria and Zambia

Euromoney May 2011

South African leadership in African markets is over; but it holds a lesson for the continent.

Columns

Abigail with attitude: Unlucky

Euromoney May 2011

Macaskill on markets: Cautious Goldman clashes with Morgan Stanley’s upbeat tone

Euromoney May 2011

Goldman Sachs cut out trading completely in the first quarter – at least that’s what the language of its earnings filing indicates. The bank managed to avoid using the t-word at any point in its earnings announcement, although it mentioned clients 29 times and made 46 references to investment.

Sideways: Can Q1 results staunch flow from UBS?

Euromoney May 2011

Strong first-quarter results at UBS might have come just in time to prevent the implosion of its bid to regain a spot at the top table of investment banking.

Inside Investment: In deep voodoo

Euromoney May 2011

The decision by Standard & Poor’s to place the US on credit watch with a “negative outlook” is a watershed. With politicians unwilling to attack spiralling welfare costs, a bond crisis might be just around the corner.

Against the tide: Political premium on energy

Euromoney May 2011

Continuing political instability in North Africa and the Middle East, together with oil-supply constraints, will increase energy risks and therefore prices.

FX and equity markets converge

Euromoney May 2011

Technology has changed the game forever. And it is costing the banks dearly. They are returning to an old idea to defend their corner from the predations of high-frequency traders. The answer to the erosion of business may lie in a trick from the equities market: dark pools. Is PureFX back on the table?

Front end

Mongolia: A heavyweight delegate who knows all the holds

Euromoney May 2011

Trump Royal Wedding Experience: Whose wedding is it, anyway?

Euromoney May 2011

The royal wedding was British but New York knows a money-spinner when it sees one.

Fred Goodwin's super-injunction: Secrets and lies

Euromoney May 2011

Sir Fred Goodwin, ex-chief executive of RBS, who found himself the lightning rod for UK public anger over the financial crisis in 2008, seems to have again served himself up on a plate to the UK media for ridicule.

Glencore's Simon Murray: A shambolic start

Euromoney May 2011

For a company that likes to keep its head below the parapet, commodities trader Glencore could not have appointed a more incongruous chairman.

The unravelling of structured investment vehicles: Memory like a SIV?

Euromoney May 2011

One of the latest books to be added to the library of publications aimed at dissecting the causes of the financial crisis is "The unravelling of structured investment vehicles: how liquidity leaked through SIVs" by Dr Henry Tabe of Sequoia Investment Management.

Quotes of the month

Euromoney May 2011

Off the record

Euromoney May 2011


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