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June 2010

June 2010

European governments: It’s the debt, stupid

Euromoney June 2010

European governments are layering new levels of debt onto their stricken economies in a doomed attempt to solve a problem that was created by debt in the first place. Their measures are little more than confidence tricks. Widespread sovereign debt restructuring looks increasingly likely. Peter Lee counts down to the inevitable day of reckoning.

Debt markets

Debt markets: Funding back in the balance

Euromoney June 2010

European bank rehabilitation is at risk as funding markets are dislocated by the sovereign debt crisis. Will governments be forced to underwrite their lending again? And what does it mean for companies when the global economy is showing signs of recovery and default rates are falling? Hamish Risk reports.

Investment banking

Investment banking: Flow leaders expect to protect their gains

Euromoney June 2010

Investment banking heads are confident that they can turn a government-sponsored trading boom into an enduring customer-based cash machine. Regulatory reform and renewed volatility threaten revenues, but the leaders think they have created a moat around their core earnings. Jon Macaskill reports.

Asia

Standard Chartered goes on the attack in Asia

Euromoney June 2010

After weathering the financial crisis better than most of its rivals, the bank is adopting an aggressive strategy in Asia. It has spent heavily and hired top talent, but getting the new generation to gel with the old won’t be easy. Lawrence White spoke to the heads of the main businesses.

Insurance

Insurance survey 2010: Insurers weigh benefits and risks of consolidation

Euromoney June 2010

The insurance industry needs to consolidate as regulatory pressures build and margins shrink. Yet last year M&A activity in the sector was at a record low. The beginning of 2010 looked promising, but if the Prudential/AIA deal does not succeed, will it signal to the market that it’s still not time? Helen Avery reports.

Insurance survey 2010: Top-rank cover

Euromoney June 2010

Turkey

Istanbul’s grand plan

Euromoney June 2010

The government of Turkey has plans to turn Istanbul into an international financial centre. The historical, geographic and political reasons behind the plan seem sound but the details suggest that practicalities might put the project out of reach. Nick Lord reports from Istanbul.

Bank capital

Bank capital and regulation: Damned if you do, damned if you don’t

Euromoney June 2010

The regulatory bombshell of Basle III has resulted in an almost complete halt to hybrid tier 1 issuance. Banks now need to decide whether they can afford to wait on the sidelines or whether they should issue and let the regulatory chips fall where they may. Louise Bowman reports.

Primary debt poll

Primary debt poll 2010: The time has come for debt capital markets bankers

Euromoney June 2010

The world’s largest borrowers in the international bond markets rate the products and services offered by the biggest deal arrangers.

Fixed income research survey

Fixed income research 2010

Euromoney June 2010

A survey of 1,700 leading fixed income investors puts the French bank in pole position for credit research. But Barclays and JPMorgan are close behind.

Debt capital markets

Fixed income investors survey 2010: Consistency pays for the world’s biggest borrowers

Euromoney June 2010

The turbulent markets of the past two years have provided a unique challenge to debt issuers that can never be closed out of the market. Clive Horwood asked four of the world’s leading borrowing officials how they have maintained access throughout the crisis. From cooperative bonds to building their own banks, the best issuers continue to innovate.

Latin America

Debt: Latin America breaks new boundaries

Euromoney June 2010

The region’s debt markets have withstood the convulsions in western Europe with surprising ease. Has the global perception of risk irrevocably changed or will the region eventually get caught up in the maelstrom? Sudip Roy reports.

Investment banking

BTG Pactual’s global designs take shape

Euromoney June 2010

The Brazilian investment bank has hired some big-name bankers, many from UBS, and wants to develop business linking Latin America with European and Asian investors and corporates. Can its fruitful partnership structure survive if it undertakes an IPO? Chloe Hayward reports.

Western Europe

Portugal seeks a way out of stagnation

Euromoney June 2010

Financial inflows have failed to transform the country into a dynamic, growth economy. However, its present crisis, which the government seems determined to solve, might be an opportunity to put in place reforms. Jeff Lewis reports.

Transaction banking

Cash management for financial institutions: Profits under pressure

Euromoney June 2010

Transaction banks face the double threat of falling cash balances at financial institutions and a changing regulatory environment. Laurence Neville reports on their efforts to keep ahead of the game.

Cash management debate

Cash management debate: Optimizing local, regional and global cash management

Euromoney June 2010

The balance between centralized and local processes in cash management is a complex issue that varies according to the special requirements of particular corporates. Users and providers discuss the issues in this roundtable.

Middle East

Finally free, Proctor warns of Qatar’s complexities

Euromoney June 2010

The nightmare of being held against his will is finally over for David Proctor, the former chief executive of Al-Khaliji Bank. Reunited with his family, he can finally reveal the extent of his ordeal, and issues a stark warning to other finance professionals looking to do business in Qatar. Eric Ellis, the reporter who broke news of his plight, spoke to Proctor in Singapore.

Germany

German banks keep faith with the Mittelstand

Euromoney June 2010

The country’s SMEs have not suffered from the credit drought that has hit some other western economies. Things might get harder as the economy picks up, but lenders to the Mittelstand appear eager to stand by their customers. Philip Moore reports.

Banking news

Europe: Fears mount over Spanish banks

Euromoney June 2010

Analysts say forbearance disguises scale of bad debt problem; Santander insists its own stress tests give it confidence

Hedge funds: GLG brings Man some balance

Euromoney June 2010

Diversification and scale key to deal; Unlikely to spur other M&A say participants

Emerging markets: Deutsche boosts CEEMEA debt team

Euromoney June 2010

Bank makes three key hires; Issuance volumes likely to rise across all three regions

Transaction banking: RBS networks to help clients

Euromoney June 2010

Market news

Markets: Flash crash could mean a short halt

Euromoney June 2010

Circuit breakers no cure say participants; Confidence in equity markets needs to be restored

CLOs: High-yield boom fuels secondary loan liquidity

Euromoney June 2010

Cash from HY refinancings; New US CLO deals emerge

Securitization: BAML cleans house with non-conforming RMBS

Euromoney June 2010

Trade may be Basle III-driven; Reverse enquiry likely

Foreign exchange: Volatility spike blocked at the back end

Euromoney June 2010

Platforms struggle to process trades; Aggregation services claim a victory

Foreign exchange: Nigerian sting for Alpari

Euromoney June 2010

Corporate Bonds: Europe’s crisis makes US look good for now

Euromoney June 2010

European regulation could favour US assets; US growth prospects better than Europe’s

Asia news

Indonesia: IDX wants to treble market cap in four years

Euromoney June 2010

President focuses on technical overhaul and domestic growth; Mulyani’s resignation triggers plunge

India: IPL or IPO: banks see new opportunities

Euromoney June 2010

IPL is India’s free market champion; Direct correlation between IPL and Sensex

India's stock markets: Turbulent markets tilt in investors’ favour

Euromoney June 2010

Australian banks face record A$5bln class action

Euromoney June 2010

Customers claim fees excessive; NBA up against CDO claims

Latin America news

Argentina: Sovereign debt swap struggles for support

Euromoney June 2010

Lower-than-expected acceptance rate for first phase; Deal is key to market re-entry

Investment banking: UBS takes first step on Brazilian comeback trail

Euromoney June 2010

Bank rebuilds in Latin nation; Hopes to gain investment banking licence soon

Equity capital markets: Mexican issuers return to IPO market

Euromoney June 2010

First debut deals in nearly two years; Bankers expect more regional issuance

Venezuela: Chávez bans brokerages

Euromoney June 2010

President tries to eliminate parallel FX market; Claims irregularities taking place

Corporate finance: Asian firms come in search of LatAm M&A

Euromoney June 2010

Bankers expect more deals; Opportunities in natural resources

EEMEA news

Kazakhstan: Banks look forward to life after debt

Euromoney June 2010

Restructurings likely to lead to re-rating of financial sector risk; Domestic markets insufficient for future growth

Debt capital markets: Russia beaten by Egypt in the secondary market

Euromoney June 2010

Egypt’s bonds helped by rarity factor; Both tranches hold ground against Russia

Saudi Arabia: Project mishaps hamper Saudi loan recovery

Euromoney June 2010

Delays in key project finance deals; Few opportunities in contractor financing

Croatia: Tourism investment crucial to economic recovery

Euromoney June 2010

Airport, port deals help expand capacity; Private and public lenders show support

Libya gets some eager international help

Euromoney June 2010

Private lenders sold to foreign groups; Decisions awaited in bank licence auction

Africa: StanChart buys Barclays’ custody business

Euromoney June 2010

Sale proceeds to be reinvested in Africa; StanChart in Africa/Middle East custody push

Comment

Short-selling: Merkel’s moment of madness

Euromoney June 2010

The German chancellor’s short-selling ban had no impact other than to increase speculation about the future of the eurozone.

Debt: Distressed exchanges misfire as magic bullets

Euromoney June 2010

Exchanges might prove temporary fixes rather than permanent solutions.

Economic stability: The old world desperately needs a deal at the G20

Euromoney June 2010

Amid the threat of competitive devaluations, the US and the eurozone need help from the new emerging market powers.

Restructuring: Dubai shows the way forward

Euromoney June 2010

Dubai World’s debt restructuring shows that orderly, voluntary agreements are the best solution to a crisis.

Rights issues: A crucial test case in Japan

Euromoney June 2010

The outcome of Japan’s first rights issue has critical implications for the market.

Real estate: Wishful thinking continues in the Gulf

Euromoney June 2010

Sentiment in Gulf property is picking up but a truly sustainable recovery is impossible.

Columns

Abigail Hofman: Excess and the city

Euromoney June 2010

Macaskill on markets: Fractured equity markets hurt by attack of the machines

Euromoney June 2010

The attack of the machines or flash crash in US stocks on May 6 highlighted serious problems in the one corner of the markets that is supposedly an oasis of liquidity and transparency. This does not augur well for plans by regulators to push fixed-income markets such as credit towards electronic trading and settlement.

Macaskill on markets: Naming rights and wrongs

Euromoney June 2010

As electronic trading is dragged blinking into the sunlight, more careful name choices for platforms and systems might be a good idea, if only from a public relations standpoint.

Against the tide: Europe’s stress point

Euromoney June 2010

The EU’s single-currency system is under great stress but will not reach breaking point so long as Germany wants it to survive.

Inside investment: The self-preservation society

Euromoney June 2010

The euro will survive. But the self-preservation instinct of its architects must mean the defenestration of Greece.

Europe’s day of reckoning cannot be delayed forever

Euromoney June 2010

For the briefest of moments the news of European Union plans to bail out eurozone members that could not meet their debt obligations brought a sense of calm to the market.

Front end