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September 2009

September 2009

The future of banking: Banking's next top model

Euromoney September 2009

Bank business models have to change. Capital requirements will be higher. Leverage and risk will be lower. But there is a danger that regulators will try to make the system too safe. That’s if they ever manage to coordinate their actions. In the meantime, bank leaders are trying to find the best model for their own institutions, while managing the fallout from the credit crunch and second-guessing the lawmakers. Peter Lee reports.

Bank funding

Banks: The scramble for capital

Euromoney September 2009

Banks will have to operate under a stricter capital regime. While they are feverishly raising more and higher-quality capital in the financial markets, proposals put forward by regulators are not to everyone’s taste, not least the potential treatment of hybrid securities. Sudip Roy reports.

Investment

Lessons from the banking crisis: Breaking the cycle

Euromoney September 2009

Bankers are back in the saddle, pursuing ever-greater profits and rewards. Investors are back at the casino trying to recoup their losses. Have fund managers – and the analysts that rate banks – learnt any lessons from the banking crisis? Dawn Cowie investigates.

World Bank/IMF Meeting

Central bank governor of the year: Durmus Yilmaz, Turkey

Euromoney September 2009

With nearly 30 years’ experience at the central bank, Durmus Yilmaz is the ideal person to steer the country’s financial system through the global credit crisis. Sudip Roy reports.

Finance minister of the year: Jim Flaherty, Canada

Euromoney September 2009

The finance minister has enhanced his country’s reputation for sound fiscal policy that takes full account of social justice, while a strong regulatory regime has kept the financial sector out of the chaos. Helen Avery reports.

Country risk September 2009: A world in flux

Euromoney September 2009

With the international economy more volatile than ever, global investors are paying more attention to country risk analysis. Risk looms both where you most and least expect it. In Euromoney’s latest rankings, the US has fallen out of the top 10. Jacqueline Cutler reports.

Banking and Markets

Santander: Sáenz plots a course through the uncertainty

Euromoney September 2009

Santander has been one of the winners of the credit crunch. Its chief executive, Alfredo Sáenz, believes the bank’s success has been due to sticking to a model that was appropriate through the cycle. Euromoney asks him how the bank is adapting to pressures from the market and the regulators.

Government bonds: The great bond conundrum

Euromoney September 2009

Huge supply, uncertainty over the inflation outlook and the effects of exceptional monetary policy, the prospect of a dramatic rise in yields, or a buyers’ strike: all these are stalking government bonds. Alex Chambers finds out whether the bond market will blow stuttering economic activity off track.

Liquidity management debate: One day at a time

Euromoney September 2009

The post-credit-crunch environment has thrown the spotlight on intra-day liquidity facilities. Once taken for granted, these have now become a symbol of the changing relationships between banks and clients in cash management, and of the stresses still inherent in the global credit system.

Real Estate poll 2009: The next leg down

Euromoney September 2009

This recession is unusual in that it was not triggered by commercial real estate but has dragged the sector down with it. However, this does not mean that recovery for this asset class will be any quicker or less painful. Louise Bowman reports.

Asia

Chinese financial markets: Barbarians at the Wall

Euromoney September 2009

Opaque and fragmented, China’s financial sector is growing fast, and the world’s top investment banks urgently want to break into its highly protected market. Making the most of opportunities requires adapting to local practices, balancing a complex web of interests and getting a head start. Lawrence White reports.

Singaporean private banking: Formula for excess

Euromoney September 2009

Singapore’s free-wheeling private bankers enjoyed the ride of their lives in the pre-crisis years, but with government intervention and a clutch of lawsuits looming, it looks as though many are finally running out of road. Eric Ellis reports.

Asia: Potholes not pitfalls on Macquarie’s road

Euromoney September 2009

Nicholas Moore, Macquarie’s chief executive, says difficulties with listed infrastructure funds should not be blown out of proportion. Despite their high public profile, its infrastructure activities are a small proportion of its business. But he’s finding it hard to shake off the notion that the ‘Macquarie model’ is broken. Chris Wright reports.

Petronas: The deal that divided the market

Euromoney September 2009

For most of 2009, Malaysian dealmakers had little to talk about. But when a landmark bond issue for Petronas, the country’s biggest corporate name, came to market in August, it more than made up for lost time. Lawrence White reports from Kuala Lumpur.

Afghanistan: Making money in Kabul markets

Euromoney September 2009

Afghanistan has a fast, efficient, customer-friendly banking system in its network of money traders. They operate where western-style bankers fear to tread – indeed those bankers rely in part on the traders to complete transactions. But the government would like the banks to supersede this old, established system.

Middle East and Africa

Defaults prompt rethink of Saudi creditworthiness

Euromoney September 2009

Defaults by the Ahab and Saad groups and their respective Bahrain-based banks TIBC and Awal might or might not be directly related. Ahab claims Saad is involved in its own downfall, a charge denied by Saad. Whatever the truth, the crises have weakened confidence in creditworthiness. Dominic O’Neill reports.

Sheikh Salem AbdulAziz Al-Sabah: How Kuwait faced up to the crisis

Euromoney September 2009

Sheikh Salem AbdulAziz Al-Sabah, governor of the Central Bank of Kuwait, talks to Euromoney about the measures taken to ensure the stability of the banking system and economy in the face of the global financial crisis and slowdown.

Riad Salameh: Lebanon holds out against the storm

Euromoney September 2009

Far from being caught up in the financial crisis of the past 18 months, Lebanon’s banking system and credit markets have emerged from the crisis stronger than before. Euromoney asked Riad Salameh, the central bank governor about his country’s apparent immunity to the credit crunch.

Gulf project finance: After globals leave, locals bridge the gap

Euromoney September 2009

Gulf project finance has become a tougher market since the credit crunch. But local banks are plugging some of the funding gaps and international banks will still take on sound projects if the terms are right. Nick Kochan reports.

Nigeria’s banking coup

Euromoney September 2009

Nigeria’s home-grown banking bubble was peremptorily burst by the central bank governor last month. Five bank managing directors were summarily removed and the four that hadn’t fled were arrested on charges of financial irregularities, with their irresponsible loan policies given a public airing. Nick Kochan reports.

Iran’s sell-off goes full circle

Euromoney September 2009

Iran’s privatization programme is putting shares in the hands of quasi-state organizations. That’s partly because the domestic private sector is starved of funds and foreign investment is hampered by US sanctions and local restrictions. Mainly, though, it’s because the ruling elite wants to retain control. Angus McDowall reports.

Turquoise taps Iran’s potential

Euromoney September 2009

Turquoise Partners’ insights into the Iranian stock market have yielded impressive returns for its two funds. Sudip Roy reports.

Latin America

Derivatives: Mexico and Brazil come to terms with meaning of exotic

Euromoney September 2009

Corporate losses on currency derivatives have increased the pressure on banks, as well as calls for improved transparency, the enforcement of margin-call documentation, regular marking to market, exchange trading of products and the use of clearing houses. Chloe Hayward reports.

Latin America: Getting to the bottom of Banco do Brasil

Euromoney September 2009

Latin America’s biggest bank is difficult to understand. Is it the tool of its majority shareholder, the government? Or are its decisions rational and market led? Chloe Hayward investigates.

Walter Bayly: BCP rides the Peruvian wave

Euromoney September 2009

Banco de Crédito del Peru’s fortunes wax and wane with those of the Andean nation’s economy. Sudip Roy talks to chief executive Walter Bayly about the bank’s prospects.

Latin America: Banks chiefs aim to sustain the stability

Euromoney September 2009

Latin America’s banks have stood apart from their Western peers during the financial crisis. Senior bank executives from across the region discuss the impact of the crisis and their plans for the coming year.

Martin Redrado: The governor who survived in Argentina

Euromoney September 2009

Martin Redrado has laboured hard since 2004 to restore and sustain the country’s financial stability in the face of global meltdown and difficult government policies. The central bank governor speaks to Jason Mitchell in Buenos Aires about the challenges he faces and his ambitions for the economy.

Emerging Europe

Can Turkish banks avoid economic reality?

Euromoney September 2009

How much longer can Turkish banks increase profits while the economy shrinks? The luck and skill of the industry have meant that defaulting borrowers have not yet caused a credit-quality crisis. But in Turkey, financial meltdown is often just around the corner. Dominic O’Neill reports from Istanbul.

Turkey’s bright futures shrug off turbulence

Euromoney September 2009

The local speculators who dominate trading in Turkey’s burgeoning equity derivatives market have had a roller-coaster ride over the past year. But the market’s popularity has continued to grow and it looks set to become even busier. Dominic O’Neill reports.

Turkey debate: In a crisis, Turkey emerges stable and more confident

Euromoney September 2009

The country’s banking crisis of 2000/01 spurred the regulatory regime that has served it so well during today’s global turmoil. But can it continue on a path of sustainable, low-volatility growth? And are investors demanding too high a risk premium for a stable credit and solid banking system?

Russia: Medvedev pushes for a big clean-up

Euromoney September 2009

Russia’s president is distancing himself from the financial corruption of the past few years and pushing through legislation to curb insider trading. Russia’s rehabilitation with outside investors should do wonders for the country’s cost of capital. Elliot Wilson reports.

Regulation: Stepic warns against over-reacting

Euromoney September 2009

Raiffeisen International has continued to post healthy profits despite difficult economic in the central and eastern European countries in which it operates. Chief executive Herbert Stepic accepts that the financial world has changed but tells Euromoney he believes there is no need for draconian regulation.

Russia debate: Russia grapples with economic transition

Euromoney September 2009

Russia’s capabilities have been stretched by the global financial crisis and an economic slowdown but its dominant position as a commodity exporter can still be a strength if the necessary reform and reconstruction measures are put in place. A panel of Russia analysts discusses the key issues.

Banking news and analysis

Insolvency: BBVA sees opportunity in US banks’ distress

Euromoney September 2009

Spanish bank is the first foreign buyer from the FDIC; Rising failures are testing the FDIC’s resources

Bank of America: Lewis kicks off succession battle

Euromoney September 2009

Krawcheck faces tough task at BofA Merrill Lynch; Merrill wealth staffers unwelcoming of outsiders

Bank earnings: Margins shrink in flow business

Euromoney September 2009

Bid-ask spread spreads are narrowing in rates; ECM fees and volumes are under pressure

Private banking: Global managers lose their shine

Euromoney September 2009

Global wealth managers lose out to local players; Client expectations set to change playing field

Liability management: Santander conducts jumbo tender of ABS

Euromoney September 2009

Balance sheet strengthened to create billions in economic capital; IPO of 15% of Brazilian operation weighed

Markets news and analysis

Securitization: Originators eye new issues

Euromoney September 2009

Auto ABS transactions mooted for Q4; Barclays takes soundings for possible RMBS deal

Corporate restructuring - Valuation challenges: is it worth it?

Euromoney September 2009

Junior lenders frustrated; IMO case sets precedent

Property derivatives: Light at the end of the tunnel

Euromoney September 2009

Slight pick-up in volumes; Investors see value in battered UK

Covered bonds: UBS launches covered bond programme

Euromoney September 2009

The first Swiss issuer of jumbos; Broader investor base sought

Equity issuance: US IPO pipeline starts to fill

Euromoney September 2009

Boost in markets reignites demand; Private equity players return

Government bond/rates: Hires - Rates allure

Euromoney September 2009

Two institutions are making a push in the European government bond/rates sector, a development that recognizes the high profits made in rates trading during the first part of this year.

Municipal bonds: Build America Bonds are here to stay

Euromoney September 2009

Dealers, investors and issuers welcome BABs; Expected to be a long-term part of the US muni market

Foreign exchange: BNP Paribas flies out from under the radar

Euromoney September 2009

People: Khlat heads to Calyon

Euromoney September 2009

FX: Deutsche adds algos to autobahnFX

Euromoney September 2009

FX: Gain files for IPO

Euromoney September 2009

FX: Saxo maintains revenues

Euromoney September 2009

FX: Welsh returns to the market

Euromoney September 2009

Asia news and analysis

Australia: ANZ pushes on with super-regional ambitions

Euromoney September 2009

Purchases from RBS broaden horizons; But were the best assets bought?

China: Citi makes a China comeback

Euromoney September 2009

US bank gets secondary market nod; Still lacks crucial underwriting licence

Indonesia looks forward to continued reform

Euromoney September 2009

Re-elected president set on more clean-ups; Economy on a steady growth path

China: BNP Paribas hopes Ren can make rain

Euromoney September 2009

Latin America news and analysis

Exchanges: BM&F Bovespa feels fee pressure

Euromoney September 2009

Brazilian exchange faces multiple competitive threats; Enters exclusive talks with Nasdaq OMX

Chile: Celfin and Goldman in derivatives alliance

Euromoney September 2009

Chilean broker and US bank to build derivatives platform; Economists view Chile as Latin tiger

Central America: El Salvador plans $800mln issue

Euromoney September 2009

Argentina: New pragmatism opens door to capital markets

Euromoney September 2009

Government launches debt exchanges; Takes steps to rebuild access to international markets

Peru: Stocks trade as rare commodity

Euromoney September 2009

Benefits from improving commodities strength; Fastest-growing economy in Latin America

EEMEA news and analysis

UAE: Lower capital-adequacy guidelines spark concerns

Euromoney September 2009

Economic stimulus needed; More uncertainty about requirements

Russia: VEB joins Macquarie in infrastructure fund

Euromoney September 2009

Development agencies emerge as key players; Other funds in the pipeline

Equities: Bullish outlook for CEE stock markets

Euromoney September 2009

High oil price, cheap valuations to spur rally; Growth forecast at 4% in 2010

Slovakia: EBRD helps pave the way for road PPPs

Euromoney September 2009

Trio of projects set to be signed; Commercial bank lending recovering

Debt capital markets: Sistema issue points to fixed-income recovery

Euromoney September 2009

Kenya: Two issues set to triple bond market’s size

Euromoney September 2009

Market poised for record-sized issues; Corporates see debt as more attractive than equity

Sovereign wealth funds: Gulf state funds’ new look

Euromoney September 2009

Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds are still in fashion but the look has changed.

Turkey: Bright futures shrug off turbulence

Euromoney September 2009

Burgeoning equity derivatives market; Introduction of futures on individual stocks a priority

Comment

New capital rules: Get the timing right too

Euromoney September 2009

Agreement of new capital rules can’t come soon enough but speedy imposition of them might be dangerous for banks and the global economy.

Debt markets: Bring back the syndicate!

Euromoney September 2009

The boom in the bond markets has quickly brought back some unwanted old habits.

Can the DPJ fix Japan?

Euromoney September 2009

New government must be careful not to crank up the JGB machine too far.

Gulf states: The west Asian chimera

Euromoney September 2009

The collapse of the Gulf states’ investment boom suggests that they should look to the wider region as a target for their surpluses.

Rating agencies: An end to free speech?

Euromoney September 2009

Ratings agencies may not use the First Amendment to protect themselves but they still won’t be successfully sued over every structured credit opinion.

China: The march of the yuan

Euromoney September 2009

China signals its intent for the yuan to become a reserve currency soon.

Offshore private banking lives on

Euromoney September 2009

Limited UBS agreement to disclose account details to IRS should not fatally damage the sector.

Columns

A blueprint for banking

Euromoney September 2009

Government policymakers and regulators around the world are striving to agree new rules to make the financial system safer. Euromoney has a few recommendations.

Abigail with attitude: You’ve never had it so good

Euromoney September 2009

"How the hell do you think I’m doing after losing $1 billion?"

Against the tide: Sustaining the unsustainable

Euromoney September 2009

The buoyant stock market is built on credit stimuli that cannot continue until there is a recovery in the real economy – and that is still way over the horizon.

Inside investment: The comeback kids

Euromoney September 2009

In July this column read the last rites over some unexpected victims of the crisis. Happily, some deaths have been greatly exaggerated while other parts of the economy and markets are due for a renaissance.

Front End

Movie posters: Star billings post big gains

Euromoney September 2009

Money management: Lucky or smart?

Euromoney September 2009

The study concludes that the generally accepted wisdom that managers get six out of 10 decisions right is wildly optimistic.

Private banking meets singles nights

Euromoney September 2009

Have you got children in their late 20s and 30s who are still single? Perhaps it is time to become a client of Hana Private Bank.

The last days of Lehman: the director’s cut

Euromoney September 2009

One year after its collapse, Lehman Brothers has inspired its first film.

Quotes of the month

Euromoney September 2009

Off the record

Euromoney September 2009