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May 2009

May 2009

Can Hourican dig RBS out of its hole?

Euromoney May 2009

Losses in RBS’s investment banking division almost brought down the entire group. Many called for it to be shut down. But John Hourican, the firm’s new head of global banking and markets, believes he is positioning a new-look business to thrive in post-credit crunch markets. Could the cause of RBS’s ills be the hope for its recovery?

Investment banking

Anshu Jain cranks up the flow at Deutsche Bank

Euromoney May 2009

Foreign exchange, money markets and rates have returned Deutsche Bank to profitability. Anshu Jain, the firm’s global head of markets, says it’s all down to applying smart solutions to relatively simple products. But don’t be fooled into thinking he’s given up on more complex business. Clive Horwood reports.

Markets

US banking: What it will take for Talf to take off

Euromoney May 2009

Two months in and only $6.4 billion in Talf loans from the $200 billion programme have been taken up. The number of investors lined up to participate is increasing and Ben Bernanke could end up with his $1trillion dream of Talf issuance and a revival of US consumer lending. Issuers need to get on board. But will they?

Emerging Europe

EBRD returns to the limelight

Euromoney May 2009

Never in the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development’s history has central and eastern Europe needed its support so much. President Thomas Mirow explains its plans to head off the threat of depression to Sudip Roy.

Foreign exchange

Treasury: Banks and corporates get back to basics

Euromoney May 2009

The impact of the wider financial crisis has forced firms and their corporate clients to re-examine the way they approach their foreign exchange business. A strong sense of realism bodes well for the market. Lee Oliver reports.

2009 Euromoney FX poll: Staying power in troubled times

Euromoney May 2009

The top-five banks in the 2009 Euromoney FX poll remain the same as in 2008 despite big sub-prime losses. As senior FX bankers make clear, a leading position in the market reflects an established set of relationships that aspirant banks find hard to build, whatever their creditworthiness. Lee Oliver reports.

Corporate finance

Debt advisory - Michael Berry: It’s good to talk

Euromoney May 2009

When he set up debt adviser Versatus, ex-Nomura leveraged finance chief Michael Berry joined a growing universe of ex-bankers looking to join in the corporate turnaround and restructuring business. He speaks to Louise Bowman.

Infrastructure

Infrastructure funds show their staying power

Euromoney May 2009

The potential for huge profits may no longer be there but good opportunities can still be found. Louise Bowman reports.

The role of government: spend, spend, spend

Euromoney May 2009

Governments are committed to boosting infrastructure spending, but they must take care on how they do it. Louise Bowman reports.

Asia

Ajay Banga demolishes Citi’s Asia-Pac silos

Euromoney May 2009

Even before the global financial crisis fully hit home, Citi had recognized that its successful Asia-Pacific division could perform even better with a more centralized structure. Ajay Banga has put that in place, but the full impact of the changes might not be apparent for a while. Elliot Wilson reports.

Latin America

Esteves details his plans for Pactual

Euromoney May 2009

Brazilian billionaire Andre Esteves has bought back much more than he sold just three years ago. His BTG-Pactual combination makes him one of the key players in Latin America’s largest market, and leaves UBS nowhere. Esteves outlines his ambitions to Chloe Hayward.

Middle East

Saudi industrial plans seek extra help

Euromoney May 2009

How many mega-projects can a crippled market handle? Saudi state bodies such as the Public Investment Fund are doing more to help the financing of projects but it might not be enough. Dominic O’Neill reports from Riyadh.

Russia

Russian economy and capital markets - Fairy tale ending or start of a nightmare?

Euromoney May 2009

A stabilized currency and higher oil prices have given a welcome fillip to the Russian capital markets. But could slumping economic growth and soaring non-performing loans undermine the recovery? Guy Norton reports from Moscow.

Real estate: Rebuilding a house of cards

Euromoney May 2009

In 2008, Russia’s property developers were hit by a brutal mix of fast-shrinking funding options and falling customer demand, sending equity valuations into a tailspin. Guy Norton reports from Moscow on the prospects for recovery.

Best managed companies in CEE

Best CEE companies in 2009: Garanti’s optimism shines through the gloom

Euromoney May 2009

CFO Afzal Modak tells Alex Chambers why Garanti is as well positioned as any company to weather the economic downturn and even take advantage of the opportunities it presents.

Best companies in CEE 2009 poll results

Euromoney May 2009

Emerging markets

Emerging markets: Fund managers do battle in commodity minefield

Euromoney May 2009

In the second part of Euromoney’s emerging market equity fund manager profiles, Chloe Hayward talks to seven managers and hears what history has taught them and how they plan to find their way through the minefield of commodity-linked stock markets, notably in eastern Europe.

Russian pressure and recession liberalize Belarus

Euromoney May 2009

Higher-cost hydrocarbons and falling exports are separating the state from the economy and destroying its Soviet relics, starting with the banks. Dominic O’Neill reports from Minsk.

Capital markets news & analysis

Financial institutions: Momentum back in bank credit

Euromoney May 2009

The credit market has witnessed a number of unguaranteed deals from European banks. Increasingly, for well-capitalized financial institutions, there are investors willing to put money to work. Perhaps more important, the spread gap between where they can print government-guaranteed deals and issue paper backed purely by their own credit is no longer the yawning gulf it once was.

Monetary policy: ECB poised to focus on quantitative easing

Euromoney May 2009

Exchanges: Xetra away

Euromoney May 2009

Debt advisory: The smart money goes for advice

Euromoney May 2009

Private equity stepping in to the vacuum left by lending banks.

Capital markets round up: Henderson targets advisory

Euromoney May 2009

During 2008, Henderson Global Investors expanded into the advisory business and Ganesh Rajendra has been hired to drive this part of the business forward. Rajendra last worked at Deutsche Bank, where he was head of European ABS research.

Foreign exchange news & analysis

Netting: CLS and Icap unveil post-trade joint venture

Euromoney May 2009

Much pressure has been placed on many market participants’ back offices as a result of the rapid expansion in foreign exchange trading volumes over the past few years.

Hedging: MSCI discovers no free lunches

Euromoney May 2009

UniCredit in retreat

Euromoney May 2009

MIG has a nose job

Euromoney May 2009

Brokers outsmart Mifid

Euromoney May 2009

FX market round up: Reuter sets up prop shop?

Euromoney May 2009

FX market round up: Barclays loses sales head

Euromoney May 2009

FX market round up: Bigger role for Leighton

Euromoney May 2009

FX market round up: Tudor hires

Euromoney May 2009

Alternative markets news & analysis

Start-ups: Hedge funds tempt staff away

Euromoney May 2009

At first glance, it is not the right time to leave the safety of a large corporation to start up a business alone. But that is exactly what a number of financial professionals are now doing.

Hedge fund strategies: Developed opportunities in emerging markets

Euromoney May 2009

Emerging markets hedge funds returned more than any other strategy in March, producing 4.63%, according to HFR, ending eight months of continuous losses. In 2008, average losses of emerging market hedge funds were nearly 37%, and investors withdrew $6.7 billion from them in the fourth quarter. Total hedge fund capital committed to emerging markets fell to less than $67 billion globally.

Film financing: Hedge funds say it’s a wrap, but should they?

Euromoney May 2009

Hedge funds and banks are backing out of film financing deals because of liquidity issues.

AI market round up: HF assets to fall another 20%

Euromoney May 2009

AI market round up: BlackRock makes big push into fixed income

Euromoney May 2009

AI market round up: Cheyne Capital takes on FoHFs

Euromoney May 2009

Hedge funds news & analysis

Hedge funds: Aima gets a result at the G20 Summit

Euromoney May 2009

Trade body representations at the G20 Summit helped reduce the pressure for heavy-handed regulation of hedge funds. Neil Wilson reports.

Hedge funds: New fund launches fall in number

Euromoney May 2009

Latest figures show that new hedge fund launches and the total assets raised were both hit by the economic downturn. Neil Wilson reports.

Asia news & analysis

BrisConnections: Infrastructure’s disconnect

Euromoney May 2009

If you want a microcosm of the bad habits global capital got into as the credit crunch hit, go to Brisbane.

Taiwan: Tsai eyes China as Taiwan’s banking sector stalls

Euromoney May 2009

Fubon Financial’s chief executive sees no hope at home without intensive consolidation.

China: Roubini says stimulus is only a short-term fix

Euromoney May 2009

Asia market round up: Big bond boom

Euromoney May 2009

Asia market round up: Zardari begs Boao

Euromoney May 2009

Latin America news & analysis

Colombia: Local debt market shines

Euromoney May 2009

With the international debt market still inaccessible for most Colombian corporates, the local market provides a ray of hope.

Banking: BBVA remains bullish on regional prospects

Euromoney May 2009

BBVA: Staying ahead?

Euromoney May 2009

Brazil: Analysts fear impending bubble

Euromoney May 2009

Chávez watch: Banks’ help sought

Euromoney May 2009

Latin America market round up: China and Argentina agree swap

Euromoney May 2009

Latin America market round up: Mexico set to relaunch Farac II

Euromoney May 2009

EEMEA news & analysis

Kazakhstan: Foreign debt weighs on Kazakhs

Euromoney May 2009

At least two of Kazakhstan’s leading banks are likely to seek a restructuring of their foreign debts in the near future. President Nursultan Nazarbayev has requested that the Kazakh government come up with a plan to help banks resolve their debt repayment problems by the middle of May.

Banking: Stepic accentuates positives

Euromoney May 2009

Herbert Stepic, chief executive of Raiffeisen International, the second-biggest lender in central and eastern Europe, remains confident that despite the short-term effects of the global credit crunch and the associated economic slowdown, central and eastern Europe will continue to offer profitable opportunities for those institutions that display a long-term commitment to the region.

Abu Dhabi: State fund ponders bond issue

Euromoney May 2009

Mubadala, the Abu Dhabi state investment fund, is considering launching its debut bond soon following a successful deal by the government last month. Details are scarce but the company has hired Citi, Goldman Sachs and RBS to arrange meetings with investors in the US and Europe.

Gulf banking: Shake-up for GIB’s shareholders after bailout

Euromoney May 2009

Gulf International Bank is finalizing a reallocation of shares in the light of a $4.8 billion bailout by its shareholders.

EEEMA market round up: Gazprom breaks the ice

Euromoney May 2009

EEEMA market round up: EBRD goes local in Moscow

Euromoney May 2009

EEEMA market round up: Angola eyes bond issue

Euromoney May 2009

EEEMA market round up: Poland seeks IMF credit line

Euromoney May 2009

Market leaders

Capital raising: UBS leads the way in global deleveraging

Euromoney May 2009

The sale of Pactual could be the first of many disposals of emerging markets assets by banks desperate to raise capital.

Loan market: Default rating's unintended consequences

Euromoney May 2009

Rating agency treatment of distressed buybacks will make it even harder to salvage value in the battered loan market.

UK: Eddie George, A great central banker

Euromoney May 2009

Eddie George’s skills are missed now more than ever.

Bailed out banks chafe against government controls

Euromoney May 2009

The US Treasury has criticized banks for reducing lending after it bailed them out. The banks say they are doing their best and want to pay government capital back. A row is brewing.

Derivatives: Korea’s kiko fiasco

Euromoney May 2009

Don’t just blame the locals: these are age-old derivatives-based losses.

CDS: Brazil undeservedly outshines Mexico

Euromoney May 2009

Do CDS spreads for Brazil and Mexico adequately reflect their relative economic health?

Foreign investment: Africa goes into reverse

Euromoney May 2009

Nigerian controls endanger foreign investment in Africa as a whole.

Acrimonious acronyms

Euromoney May 2009

Tarp, Talf, PPIP – what’s an investor to make of it?

Columns

Abigail Hofman: Stay with the strong

Euromoney May 2009

Against the tide: Europe’s dominoes are ready to topple

Euromoney May 2009

There are limited IMF funds for ailing emerging economies, available only on stiff terms, and that means serious consequences for those that have lent to them.

Inside investment: Save or speculate?

Euromoney May 2009

David Ricardo’s counsel of despair on the fate of the working man should also give investors food for thought, writes Lincoln Rathnam.

Goldman vs the government

Euromoney May 2009

Goldman Sachs received plaudits following its first-quarter results. It beat all estimates when it posted earnings of $1.8 billion, equating to $3.39 a share, compared with expectations of $1.80.

Front end

Bush at Boao – another fine mess

Euromoney May 2009

Duplicity: Spot the magazine!

Euromoney May 2009

Bahrain: Another Gulf state on shaky foundations

Euromoney May 2009

The bank bailout song

Euromoney May 2009

From brickbats to clogs

Euromoney May 2009

Consider the risks of personal injury if shoe throwing catches on.

DMO's new distribution methods: Barrowfuls of bonds

Euromoney May 2009

Quotes of the Month

Euromoney May 2009

Off the record

Euromoney May 2009

Sponsored statement

Honduras: a land of opportunity welcomes investors

Euromoney May 2009

With a stable democracy and a business-friendly economic environment, Honduras is making the most of its central location in the Americas.