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December 2008

December 2008

The treasury market reaches breaking point

Euromoney December 2008

As credit and equity markets crashed again in November, mounting problems in the US government bond markets went almost unnoticed. There are worrying signs that the treasury market itself, the last haven for risk-averse investors, is breaking down. Deliveries of treasuries failed at an all-time high of $2 trillion, and over periods lasting weeks, starting in October. Helen Avery reports.

Corporate finance

Why corporate refinancing is next up in the cycle of despair

Euromoney December 2008

Access to debt refinance has all but dried up for corporate treasurers. Those expecting tier back-up loan facilities to bail them out could be in for a nasty surprise. Alex Chambers looks at how companies can survive the liquidity crisis.

Credit markets

Mortgage-backed securities – Hands up: who wants to call the bottom of the market?

Euromoney December 2008

A tumbling blade has to land some time. Hank Paulson may have decided against trying to stop it directly but John Paulson is apparently back buying mortgage-backed securities. Louise Bowman speaks to other credit investors who believe there is money to be made from this shattered market.

SSAs lurch into the unknown

Euromoney December 2008

Long sheltered from the credit crunch, sovereign, supranational and agency spreads have ballooned in the wake of the introduction of government-guaranteed bank debt. How will SSA names find their place in the uncharted territory of Libor-plus? Jethro Wookey reports.

Emerging markets

Emerging market banks: In the line of fire

Euromoney December 2008

Banks in emerging markets appeared to have escaped the worst of the financial crisis. Now, as capital markets seize up and the global economy heads for recession, they must face the same liquidity and solvency pressures as their western counterparts. Sudip Roy looks at the banks most likely to cope.

Equity markets

US equity market – Short selling: The naked truth

Euromoney December 2008

Fails to deliver in the US equity market have exacerbated the sharp declines in share prices of financials. Although the SEC is clearing up the mess caused by naked short-selling, more drastic measures might be needed to restore confidence. Helen Avery reports.

Islamic finance

Islamic finance: Size will matter in Islamic banking

Euromoney December 2008

Data from the Islamic Finance Information Service indicate that rapid growth of Shariah-compliant banking comes mostly from a low base. Is the sector set for a wave of consolidation as organic growth slows? Chris Wright reports.

Islamic finance debate: Prospects and problems of Shariah-compliant finance

Euromoney December 2008

The market is growing fast in Muslim countries and among Muslim communities. Its fuller development, Euromoney’s roundtable of experts suggests, depends on clearer views on objectives, further development of regulation and standardization of products and approaches.

Asia's best companies

Best Asian Companies 2008: Cash is king as Asia’s best companies put their money to work

Euromoney December 2008

With capital markets effectively closed, cash-rich Chinese firms are well placed to profit. They have tended to rely less on international markets for funding than some regional peers, and are able to develop strategies without the liquidity worries that plague rivals. Lawrence White reports.

Indonesia

‘I am what I am’: Indonesia’s embattled finance minister speaks out

Euromoney December 2008

Beloved by the international markets for her professionalism and by most compatriots for her reformist zeal, Mulyani Indrawati is battling with those who prefer things done the old way. Lawrence White spoke to her at the G20 summit.

Asia

Asia’s bankers stay busy in a meltdown

Euromoney December 2008

The global financial crisis has taken hold in the region, leading to a drastic slowdown in traditional capital-raising. With job cuts expected soon, investment bankers are working hard to meet nervous clients’ needs and perhaps simultaneously save their own jobs. Lawrence White reports.

Africa

Algeria exasperates with lack of consistency

Euromoney December 2008

Newly peaceful, liberalized Algeria is an attractive prospect for Middle Eastern and European investors. But a change in the political wind has blown in a whiff of protectionism. Dominic O’Neill reports from Algiers.

Credit markets news and analysis

Bank debt: FDIC covers failure to pay

Euromoney December 2008

Government provides a bridge for primary market funding.

Infrastructure: Gatwick's terminal congestion

Euromoney December 2008

Gatwick sale will test appetite for infrastructure assets.

CLOs: Leaving Las Vegas

Euromoney December 2008

Rating downgrades threaten CLO structures.

Infrastructure: Depfa’s woes put Tube improvements on the line

Euromoney December 2008

Agency broking: Come back to cash

Euromoney December 2008

Agency brokers build fixed-income teams.

Credit market round up: Pain in Spain

Euromoney December 2008

Credit market round up: A Rasche decision

Euromoney December 2008

Credit market round up: Granite crumbles

Euromoney December 2008

Foreign exchange news and analysis

Electronic FX trading: FXall looks to secure its position

Euromoney December 2008

The platform’s chief executive, Phil Weisberg, says the firm is ready to face the difficulties of a bear market.

FX and Banking: A bad year to have a good year

Euromoney December 2008

Bumper results produced by many FX units are likely to prove a sideshow in what will be a year of write-downs and general value destruction.

FX market round up: Kenan Altunis – Lotto luck

Euromoney December 2008

FX market round up: GFI mounts raid on Tokyo

Euromoney December 2008

FX market round up: BIS reports robust activity

Euromoney December 2008

Equity markets news and analysis

Primary markets: Santander finds ethics shorted

Euromoney December 2008

The credit crisis has, so far, raised Santander’s relative standing among its peers, as the Spanish bank has sidestepped some of the pitfalls of its rivals and picked up a few bargain acquisitions. The bank’s reputation for savvy deal-making has also been enhanced, making it surely one of the most sought after financial sector clients for any investment bank.

Equity derivatives: Volatility trading growth hit by lower liquidity

Euromoney December 2008

Investors stay on the sidelines and look at directionless strategies.

UK pension funds and equity: Cult of equity RIP

Euromoney December 2008

UK pension funds slash equity allocations.

Trading: MTFs on an uncomfortable ride

Euromoney December 2008

Multilateral trading facilities have been gaining market share in recent months but the market itself has been shrinking. MTFs’ conspicuous success is also attracting some unwanted attention.

Equity market round up: Bleak reading, the month in numbers.

Euromoney December 2008

Equity market round up: IPO – Hooray for Grand Canyon Education!

Euromoney December 2008

In November, Grand Canyon Education, a provider of online education services, broke the US market’s 15-week drought of IPOs with a $126 million deal, ending the US’s driest spell since 1975.

Alternative investments news and analysis

Alternative investments strategy: High volatility tempts investors

Euromoney December 2008

Up to now interest in volatility as an asset class or strategy has been limited.

Investment: Long/shorts need rethink

Euromoney December 2008

The losses in the long/short strategy favoured by the majority of hedge funds show no signs of abating.

Agriculture: Farmland is the new gold

Euromoney December 2008

There are not many markets left in which it would be safe to invest but agriculture ought to be a safe bet.

Financial crisis and hedge funds: Top five report to Congress

Euromoney December 2008

John Paulson, George Soros, Citadel’s Ken Griffin, Harbinger Capital’s Philip Falcone and Renaissance Technologies’ James Simons were all grilled by Congress in November about hedge funds’ role in contributing to the financial markets’ meltdown.

AI market round up: Replication products fail to appeal

Euromoney December 2008

AI market round up: Morgan’s Asia PB head leaves

Euromoney December 2008

AI market round up: Best practice, not standards

Euromoney December 2008

Hedge Funds news and analysis

Hedge funds: Revenge of the CTAs

Euromoney December 2008

Once out of favour, futures traders are coming into their own by maintaining solid positive returns in grim markets, argues Neil Wilson.

Hedge funds: Data

Euromoney December 2008

Asia news and analysis

China: Stimulus splits analysts

Euromoney December 2008

News that China’s National Development and Reform Commission is considering a new stimulus package in addition to the Rmb4 trillion ($586 billion) plan announced on November 9 will bring cheer to investors and analysts who regard the country’s growth as central to the prospects of an Asian, or indeed global, recovery from the present crisis.

Equity trading: Chi-X takes on Tokyo

Euromoney December 2008

Chi-X has announced that it is bringing its multilateral electronic equities trading platform to Japan, placing itself in direct competition with the oft-criticised Tokyo Stock Exchange.

Malaysia sells itself as good for a bounce-back

Euromoney December 2008

"If you track our market performance since the election in early March... there is probably less volatility" -Dato’ Yusli Mohamed Yusoff, Bursa Malaysia

Japan: Thierry Porte carries can for Shinsei ills

Euromoney December 2008

Thierry Porte, the president of Tokyo’s Shinsei Bank, has resigned, taking responsibility for the bank’s poor results after it lost ¥19 billion ($198 million) between April and September this year. The loss caps a run of weak results for the bank over the past two years, and Porte’s exit marks the end of an era as the firm is returned to the leadership of its chairman, the 79-year-old Masamoto Yashiro.

Asian market round up: Investment banks shake up senior staff

Euromoney December 2008

The Asian units of the world’s leading investment banks have not been immune to the industry-wide job cuts being announced.

Latin America news and analysis

Brazil: Unibanco chooses Itaú

Euromoney December 2008

Fit of family cultures closer than with rival Bradesco.

Ecuador: Correa sends defiant message to bondholders

Euromoney December 2008

Meirelles confident of Brazil’s resilience

Euromoney December 2008

Central bank president sees no need for recapitalization, nor guarantees for deposits or liabilities.

Mexican infrastructure: Funding fogs Farac

Euromoney December 2008

Uncertainty over bridge loans for infrastructure projects.

Chávez watch: poised to make cuts

Euromoney December 2008

Latin America round up: $1bln petrochem boost for Peru

Euromoney December 2008

Latin America round up: Japanese banks invest in Chile

Euromoney December 2008

EEMEA news and analysis

Market leaders

Financial crisis and the housing market: Dodging the issue

Euromoney December 2008

This crisis is only going to end when the root cause of the problem – the housing market – is fixed.

Monetary policy: Bernanke needs new weapons

Euromoney December 2008

Are we already into the era of unconventional monetary policy?

Japan’s banks struggle again

Euromoney December 2008

Shinsei provides a reminder that bail-outs don’t make bad banks good.

Pension funds: Widening the short-selling blame game

Euromoney December 2008

If Congress is intent on playing the blame game, what of those who lend the stock?

American car manufacturers: The next credit pile-up?

Euromoney December 2008

Jobs are far from the only concern as the car icons plead to Congress.

China takes infrastructure road

Euromoney December 2008

Can a spending spree mask problems in banking and the broader economy?

Citi: How to play a losing hand

Euromoney December 2008

Vikram Pandit needs a good deal, and fast, to save not just his tenure but possibly his bank.

Bank equity: Beggars can’t be choosers

Euromoney December 2008

Investors are in no position to worry about niceties in bank capital raising.

Property markets: Dubai wakes up to reality

Euromoney December 2008

Dubai’s property bubble has finally burst. For Abu Dhabi, it is a pain, but also an opportunity.

Commodities: The map of Venezuela starts to change

Euromoney December 2008

A falling oil price is limiting Hugo Chávez’s economic and political options.

Covered bond traders find their voice

Euromoney December 2008

Sifma’s new covered bond group seeks to find a consensus among traders. But with no public covered bond market in evidence, why now?

Columns

Paulson tries to rewrite the record

Euromoney December 2008

US Treasury secretary Hank Paulson seems to be making an effort to rewrite his part in the failure of the US financial system, perhaps in an effort to influence the verdict of history.

Abigail with attitude: More zeroes than heroes

Euromoney December 2008

Beleaguered Barclays, Delphic Deutsche, bank bonuses and preempting press releases.

Inside Investment: Bring out your dead

Euromoney December 2008

Zombie banks are stalking the global economy, choking off credit to viable businesses. The solution, writes Lincoln Rathnam, is a straightforward separation of the good from the bad.

Against the Tide: Weak emerging economies will have global feedback

Euromoney December 2008

The spread of the credit crisis to emerging countries will have more than just domestic repercussions.

Front End

Back to basics at Citi

Euromoney December 2008

Santander slums it in Panama

Euromoney December 2008

SG dips into red to ease black mood

Euromoney December 2008

FSA benefits from crisis

Euromoney December 2008

€2 billion – ¥2 billion: Turning Japanese…

Euromoney December 2008

Quotes of the Month

Euromoney December 2008

Off the Record

Euromoney December 2008

Special focus: Brazil

The 2008 guide to Brazil: Policies in place to weather the financial storms

Euromoney December 2008

Even though it is now under pressure from the global financial crisis, Brazil can look back on 2008 as a relatively good year, with growth close to target, and look forward from a position of strength, sustained by high forex reserves and a sound policy environment. Laurence Neville reports.


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