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March 2006

March 2006

Guillermo Nielsen exclusive: Inside Argentina’s financial crisis

Euromoney March 2006

In December 2001, the government defaulted on $81.8 billion of debt repayments and broke the peso’s link with the dollar. When Nielsen was appointed in May 2002, the country was in the midst of one of the worst financial, social and political crises to hit any country since the Great Depression. His job, together with that of his economy minister, Roberto Lavagna, was to help restore stability and turn around Argentina’s financial fortunes.

Investment banking

Inside Citigroup’s plans for emerging markets domination

Euromoney March 2006

More than 50% of Citigroup’s corporate and investment banking revenues come from outside north America, so emerging markets are the cornerstone of its success or failure. It already dominates some areas but can it blow the competition away in every product and in every region? Sudip Roy reports.

Can German banks learn a French lesson?

Euromoney March 2006

With the notable exception of Deutsche Bank, German investment banks’ performance has lagged their French peers for most of the decade. But the German sector is picking up on new market possibilities, with Commerzbank in particular looking to rebuild its business after a dramatic recovery. Philip Moore reports.

Hedge funds

Hedge funds: Forget lawyers, learn from a real active manager

Euromoney March 2006

Lawyers are cashing in by advising managements of public companies in ways to ward off evil hedge fund activists. But activism, handled with decorum, can be positive for management and investors. And who better to be an activist than a hedge fund manager? Helen Avery reports.

Latin America

LATAM Issuers ride high on hysterical quest for yield

Euromoney March 2006

Manic demand for returns is putting Latin American issuers in the driving seat, calling the shots on subjects such as length of maturity, target investor base and restructuring opportunities. Theodore Kim reports.

LATAM: Foreign banks open a second front

Euromoney March 2006

Further consolidation in Latin America’s banking industry is expected on the back of strong economic growth and financial stability. Foreign banks, which were active acquirers in the 1990s, are expected to play a big part in this. Leticia Lozano reports.

LATAM: Issuers and investors get a taste for local debt

Euromoney March 2006

Latin America’s local-currency markets are no longer a sideshow for esoteric investors. Today, many emerging market portfolio managers have exposure. But, as Felix Salmon reports, the growth of domestic supply and demand will drive these markets forward.

Best-managed LATAM companies 2006

Euromoney March 2006

Latin American companies are shedding reputations for irresponsible management to become competitors, and even leaders, in the global markets. So much so that some don’t even want to be considered Latin any more. Lawrence White analyses the results of Euromoney’s first survey of the best-managed companies in the region.

The LDI debate

LDI Debate: Bridging the void

Euromoney March 2006

A mixture of accounting issues, demographics, trends in the equity market and a sharp fall in bond yields has revealed the chasm between the assets and liabilities of pension funds in the UK, Europe and the US. Many will be unable to pay their pension promises in full. Most will be pushed into liability-driven investment strategies. But are they a real solution or an expensive act of desperation?

Western Europe

Portugal’s banks consider their next move

Euromoney March 2006

The country’s banks are successful and stable. But a small domestic market leaves a difficult choice: concentrate on building at home or seek to expand overseas. Laurence Neville reports.

Middle East

MIDEAST: Lack of products makes investors demand more

Euromoney March 2006

Supply of both Islamic-compliant and conventional instruments has so far failed to keep up with the voracious levels of demand across the Middle East, but there are signs that product-starved investors might now begin to see a steadier flow, though far-reaching challenges remain. Kathryn Wells reports.

The FX debate

FX debate: The growing pains of foreign exchange

Euromoney March 2006

It’s not easy to see, but behind the trillions of dollars of FX trading a collision between new technology and traditional banking is changing the economics and mechanics of the business. So far, participants talk politely of cooperation.

Emerging Europe

Russian banks come with high price tag

Euromoney March 2006

The market is attractive to potential foreign acquirers, but the process of acquisition is proving far from easy. Patrick Gill reports.

Country risk

Country risk March 2006

Euromoney March 2006

Oil producers strike it rich, but long-term issues remain

The high price of oil highlights the fact that many economies are too reliant on raw materials exports, with governments creating unfavourable conditions for foreign investment through neglect or for political reasons. Florian Neuhof looks at the main drivers behind Euromoney’s latest country risk poll.

Asia

Korea: How Hynix emerged from the perfect storm

Euromoney March 2006

The financial rehabilitation of Korean chipmaker Hynix offers salutary lessons for the region. Once the company was an embarrassment that an entire country wanted to go away. Now its creditors will reap a bonanza from a deal that they never even wanted. Chris Leahy reports from Seoul.

Malaysian M&A is anything but easy

Euromoney March 2006

A hostile bid in the Malaysian banking market is almost unheard of. But CIMB's pursuit of Southern Bank has provoked more than just headlines, and now almost every major banking group in the country is in play.

Taiwan seeks to redraw its financial landscape

Euromoney March 2006

Taiwan is desperately overbanked and the unprofitable financial sector is crying out for successful consolidation and rationalization, rather than ill-judged government initiatives. But that has not stopped foreign investors buying into the market for the first time. Nick Parsons reports

Thai smiles win back foreign investors

Euromoney March 2006

Foreign investors are back in Thailand to scoop up bargains. The timing couldn’t be better for a new drive to develop the capital markets but politics could get in the way of some important deals. Peter Koh reports.

Why SCB’s Khunying Jada Watthanasiritham is excited by Thai markets

Euromoney March 2006

Thai capital markets are set for a bull run. SCB's president, Khunying Jada Watthanasiritham, expains how her bank, and other local firms, can profit despite growing interest from international banks.

India breaks the circle of distressed debt

Euromoney March 2006

India’s distressed debt market has a problem. Specialist firms, often set up by a consortium of banks, buy the assets from one arm of a bank, package them up, and then have to sell them back to the original banks. After intense lobbying from firms such as Arcil, the Indian government has changed the rules. Niranjan Rajadhyaksha reports.

Debt markets news & analysis

FIG Watch: Santander capitalizes on a worldwide view

Euromoney March 2006

Grupo Santander is often considered to be among the sharpest of borrowers, and it certainly has one of the biggest profiles. José Antonio Soler, who has run its funding operation for a year and a half, talks to Alex Chambers about the group’s quest for new pools of capital and its developing issuance strategy.

Covered bonds: UK banks gain parity

Euromoney March 2006

The FSA took a couple of years but the UK regulator has finally accepted the concept of covered bonds; the Netherlands will be next.

Syndicated loans: How hedge funds have shaken up lending

Euromoney March 2006

The syndicated loans sector’s transformation from dominance by bank holders to a growing role for institutional investors has already happened – now the predominance of hedge funds is encouraging new technology.

DM Hybrid deals: The wisdom of Wits acknowledged by the Fed

Euromoney March 2006

Reserve confirms Wachovia deal qualifies for tier 1. And that could spark over $40 billion of copycat deals.

Trade bodies: Debt associations set up talking shop

Euromoney March 2006

DCM round up: Moving in and moving on . . .

Euromoney March 2006

It’s the time of the year, with the bonus season over, when people moves are back in swing. So far, several have caused a bit of a stir.

Structured credit news & analysis

Public sector: Labour’s crisis of confidence threatens progress of UK PFI

Euromoney March 2006

The UK government’s commitment to imminent PFI transactions appears to be wavering. Have critics of the funding strategy won the argument?

Credit derivatives: Go easy on the curves

Euromoney March 2006

LBOs and technicals have boosted betting on the continuing steepness of the European credit curve. But nothing good lasts for ever and several things could upset the apple cart.

CDOs: Old hands face up the shock of the new

Euromoney March 2006

The rapid influx of new managers to the CDO market is a staffing headache for established players.

Structured credit round up: CLOs… just in time

Euromoney March 2006

Structured credit round up: CDS backlog attacked

Euromoney March 2006

Foreign exchange news & analysis

ECNs: FXall set for partial sale to private equity buyer

Euromoney March 2006

The sale of Hotspot has prompted a torrent of speculation about the future of other ECNs. But it seems the rumours about new owners for FXall are true.

Options pricing: Options open up

Euromoney March 2006

Barclays believes there’s plenty of room for growth, helped by streaming prices on its own trading platform.

Algorithmic trading: BoA harnesses rocket science for trading race

Euromoney March 2006

Bank of America gets the edge with its acquisition of Financial Labs.

FX round up: Dave Tait reaches new peaks

Euromoney March 2006

FX round up: New boss for SG

Euromoney March 2006

FX round up: Dealer costs JPM Chase $6 million

Euromoney March 2006

A former FX salesman at JPMorgan Chase in New York has been arrested and charged with wire fraud. Terrence Gumbs apparently hid an unauthorized trade, which cost the bank about $6 million in losses, according to a criminal complaint unsealed in New York.

Equity markets news & analysis

Single-stock futures: Eurex hopes for SSF boom

Euromoney March 2006

Ucits III opens the door to sustainable growth of single-stock futures. Over the past five years the exchange’s USF market has grown by an average of 57% a year, and there may be more to come.

Stock markets: Markets with weak currencies perform better

Euromoney March 2006

Research overturns the paradigm that strong currencies provide superior returns.

Post-trade processing: Banks want consolidated clearing and settlement

Euromoney March 2006

This could be just the beginning of a battle between exchanges and their users.

Mifid 2 proposals soothe smaller firms’ fears

Euromoney March 2006

ECM round up: DrKW catches the blog bug

Euromoney March 2006

DrKW has embraced blogging in a big way. The fondness for internet opinion boards has spread from the bank’s IT staff to the rest of the bank, which now has about 300 internal web logs, used for sharing work ideas.

ECM round up: People moves: Lazaro and Rowntree

Euromoney March 2006

ECM round up: Number of the month: 73.4

Euromoney March 2006

Fund management news & analysis

Prime brokers: Hedge funds go outsourcing

Euromoney March 2006

Increasing regulatory costs for hedge fund managers are leading large players to make a U-turn and look to outsource back-office functions, says Tom Kerns, global head of client reporting and product integration at Deutsche Bank Global Prime Services.

Wealth management: Credit Suisse looks set to acquire in the US

Euromoney March 2006

The Swiss bank is making determined efforts to grow its US private banking business.

Middle East: Hedge funds lead growth

Euromoney March 2006

The number of Middle East-based hedge funds is set to increase. In January, Abu Dhabi headquartered First Gulf Bank launched the first hedge fund of significance in the region. The fund, Al Saqer (“the Falcon”), is a macro-strategy hedge fund and has a capitalization of Dh3 billion ($817 million).

German real estate is not an open-and-shut case

Euromoney March 2006

The problems of open-ended real estate funds might pave the way for the rapid success of Reits.

FM round-up: Women are the safer sex

Euromoney March 2006

Invest with female mutual fund managers to save on trading costs

FM round-up: What managers are watching

Euromoney March 2006

Fund managers' priorities for 2006

FM round-up: CME . . . That’s snow index

Euromoney March 2006

Corporate finance news & analysis

Second-lien financing: Untapped resource or risk?

Euromoney March 2006

Second-lien financings grew dramatically in 2005. Total US second-lien loan issuance alone amounted to more than $22 billion in 2005. In Europe, second-lien issuance totalled €5.75 billion in 2005, rising from €1.88 billion in 2004.

Shareholder rights: Pennsylvania bails out Sovereign Bancorp

Euromoney March 2006

US state’s decision to pass a law protecting a bank from shareholder activists is seen as a setback for investors.

M&A advice: Consultancies are ready for big-ticket deals

Euromoney March 2006

As KPMG wins a $5.4 billion advisory mandate, are consultants stealing big deals from investment banks?

Treasury services: Santander moves on two fronts

Euromoney March 2006

Jorge Maortua, deputy head of global wholesale banking for Grupo Santander and the group’s head of treasury services, is running a fast-growing business. Perhaps more important, his division, while finding alternatives to traditional low-margin lending, is building key relationships with the bank’s clients, including small and medium-size enterprises.

Sarbanes-Oxley: PCAOB under fire

Euromoney March 2006

A US Federal court case may force Congress to consider amendments to the Sarbanes-Oxley Act.

CF round up: Arcelor bolsters its defence with Morgan Stanley

Euromoney March 2006

CF round up: Costamagna quits Goldman

Euromoney March 2006

Asia news & analysis

Equity markets: Start of something big in China

Euromoney March 2006

Stock market reforms and restructuring portend further share price rises. There is money to be made, say fund managers, for those with patience and diligence.

Debt markets: Hybrids head to Asia

Euromoney March 2006

Where developed western markets go, Asia’s markets usually follow. Bankers in the region are confident that’s true of hybrid securities. From a buy-side perspective, hybrids have arrived already. As many as a dozen international issuers, most conspicuously from Latin America, have successfully tapped an Asian retail market driven principally by private bank clients hungry for yield.

Hutchison Whampoa: Mixed signals from 3G float

Euromoney March 2006

There was a message of serious intent in the choice of syndicate for Hong Kong-based Hutchison Whampoa’s proposed flotation of its Italian 3G business. The message from the market was equally clear. Despite the best efforts of Goldman Sachs, HSBC, JPMorgan, Merrill Lynch and Morgan Stanley to get the deal away, the US$7 billion price offered by investors was simply too unpalatable for an investment that has cost Hutchison between US$8 billion and US$9 billion. The IPO was pulled.

China: Universal discussion puts focus on deregulation

Euromoney March 2006

Asia round-up: Tough start for Citi

Euromoney March 2006

Asia round-up: Hedge funds crucial for brokers

Euromoney March 2006

Asian-based hedge funds generated 30% of all reported commissions earned by brokers over the past 12 months on trades of Asian stocks.

Asia round-up: Correction

Euromoney March 2006

Latin America news & analysis

Argentina: Debt exchange warrants pay dividends for investors

Euromoney March 2006

GDP warrants on the sovereign bond exchange are proving a hot market.

Environmental finance: Brazil pioneers carbon credits market

Euromoney March 2006

Rio de Janeiro now offers a developing market alternative to Chicago.

Multilaterals: IDB needs to diversify funding strategy

Euromoney March 2006

New report calls on multilateral to issue more benchmark bonds.

Argentine hold-outs: Speculation mounts on sovereign’s next move

Euromoney March 2006

Government rumoured to be planning new bond deal although holdouts issue remains unresolved.

Latin America market round up: Hugo Chávez watch

Euromoney March 2006

LATAM round up: Bradesco Investment Bank

Euromoney March 2006

LATAM round up: Metrofinanciera ponders a perp

Euromoney March 2006

EEMEA news & analysis

Saudi Arabia: Gulf debut for Islamic RMBS

Euromoney March 2006

Dollar bond with enhanced curve is a sign of bigger things to come.

Egypt: Debt needs derivatives

Euromoney March 2006

Synthetic bond is a precursor to bonds in Egyptian pounds.

Iran: Private banks still opening

Euromoney March 2006

The Iranian authorities’ recent granting of operating licences to two new private banks (Bank Sarmaye Daneshgah and Bank Pasargeda) suggests that the sector has a future, despite president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s apparent disdain for his predecessor’s reformist agenda.

Nigeria: Analysts question oil producer’s new rating

Euromoney March 2006

Fitch and S&P put Nigeria’s risk of default on the same level as Brazil and Turkey.

Russia: Sovereign goes out to 30 years

Euromoney March 2006

Focus is on the potential for corporate debt outperformance in 2006.

EEMEA market round-up: Kazakhstan

Euromoney March 2006

EEMEA market round-up: Russia

Euromoney March 2006

EEMEA market round-up: Turkey

Euromoney March 2006

EEMEA market round-up: Ukraine

Euromoney March 2006

Market Leaders

An apology: Mark Stainton

Euromoney March 2006

Emerging markets enter unknown territory

Euromoney March 2006

How will money be made in emerging markets debt when bid-ask margins are anorexic and expected returns uncompetitive?

The stand-off begins: M&A risk increases for bond investors

Euromoney March 2006

Bond investors are starting to clamour for extra protection as buyout risk increases.

Hedge funds: How to be the prime de la prime

Euromoney March 2006

Hedge fund managers are increasingly shopping around and using more than one prime broker at the same time.

Citigroup fails to solve the China conundrum

Euromoney March 2006

The US bank has made an expensive foray into China’s banking market, with little to show from two-and-a-half years’ work and millions of dollars spent.

What the IDB must do to stay relevant

Euromoney March 2006

Latin America’s development bank has to change tack as countries in the region rely less on dollar funding.

It’s time to play catch-up in financial sponsor business

Euromoney March 2006

Financial sponsors now account for an important chunk of advisory fees, but not all banks are cashing in.

Letter to the editor: The FX debate – a response from RBS

Euromoney March 2006

Our December cover story, The problem with foreign exchange, has sparked debate about the structure of today's FX market. Responses to the feature are still arriving at the Euromoney office.

Columns

Lessons learnt from Argentina’s financial crisis

Euromoney March 2006

Argentina’s debt default, devaluation and subsequent recovery is, along with Enron’s fall from grace, the biggest financial story of the decade.

Inside Investment: Don’t write off DWS’s flying doctor

Euromoney March 2006

Acquired asset managers often fail to fulfil their promise, as Deutsche Bank has found more than once. But Deutsche’s parachuting of Axel Schwarzer into US firm DWS Scudder looks set to be a success story.

ECB Watch: Changing faces, changing places

Euromoney March 2006

With Mario Draghi taking up a position on the European Central Bank’s governing council, and Jürgen Stark set to be the next new member, the inner sanctum is likely to become more pragmatic than doctrinaire.

Against the Tide: The struggle for power in Europe

Euromoney March 2006

Conflict over oil and gas supplies is set to fuel tension between western Europe and Russia in coming years.

Front end

Bike race: FX pedallers on an uphill learning curve

Euromoney March 2006

FX heads aspire for gold in L’Etape du Tour bike race.

A big buzz in Manila

Euromoney March 2006

Jollibee Bee, mascot, all dressed up to collect company's award for Best-managed consumer goods company in Asia.

Lehman’s defensive play is a boost to the Steelers

Euromoney March 2006

Lehman's Grant Bowman has a taste of Superbowl fame in the Pittsburgh Steelers practice squad.

Multi-talented intern offers “everything but intercourse"

Euromoney March 2006

Is bondcast the new podcast?

Euromoney March 2006

The Lehman Bond Show will now be available via podcast.

Off the Record

Euromoney March 2006

Quotes of the month

Euromoney March 2006

Supplements


If they didn’t let a bank fail, how were they going to prove there was a serious problem? You kill a chicken to scare the monkey

One banker gives the best reason we’ve heard yet about why Lehman was allowed to fail

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