January 1998

January 1998

Top fifty under forty: Euromoney's rising stars

Euromoney January 1998

They flyfish, birdwatch, trek and mountain climb. They have brought us Bowie bonds and Brady bonds. They've worked on privatizations and flotations. They head top banks, have founded their own firms, introduced new markets and strengthened fragile emerging economies. Meet Euromoney's top fifty financial whizzkids from around the world - and take note. They are impressive now, but their peers believe they are destined for even greater things

Features

After the fun - the real challenge

Euromoney January 1998

They were sent from Athens, London and Madrid. They burned the midnight oil and engaged in intellectual debate, hammering out the finer points of monetary union. But by spring, the economists will be rolling up their spreadsheets and leaving Frankfurt as the European Monetary Institute is transformed into the European Central Bank. In the meantime, the battle for influence has to be won all over again. In the committee rooms, it is already beginning. By Laura Covill.

Caught with their pants down?

Euromoney January 1998

Rating agencies have been strongly criticized for failing to spot the Asian crisis. Investment-grade bonds have been downgraded to junk status - but only after problems have appeared and without much warning. For the first time the agencies are having to justify themselves. Are they as good in Asia as they are in the US? Steven Irvine reports.

Buy when the blood flows

Euromoney January 1998

When markets crash canny investors seize the opportunity to buy cheap. A few will make huge profits from the turmoil. But it's a risky business. Calling the bottom and selecting recovery stocks is challenging the analysts. No wonder the majority of investors are too terrified to come off the sidelines. Peter Lee talked to strategists about their 1998 plans.

And then there were three

Euromoney January 1998

On Friday November 21, when the board of Yamaichi Securities met to discuss downsizing the firm, president Shohei Nozawa stunned board members by proposing instead that it should wind itself up. Andrew Horvat reports on the events leading to the collapse of one of Japan's big four securities houses.

Both a lender and a borrower be

Euromoney January 1998

With trillions of dollars of securities lent or temporarily sold each day the risks, once thought minimal, began to look higher in November. There's a rethink on counterparty risk and the practice of making a spread on lower-grade collateral, but the credit-spread business is growing. Michelle Celarier reports.

The end of the bonus bonanza?

Euromoney January 1998

Investment bankers' pay has been pushed through the roof as European firms seek to compete with Wall Street. But now banks are squeezing costs as they see their growth prospects fade. For all but the very best employees, the days of sky-high salaries may soon be over. So don't spend that seven-figure bonus all at once - it may be the last for some time. By Suzanne Miller.

Poll of polls 1997: Battling to join the elite

Euromoney January 1998

Euromoney's definitive annual guide to winners and losers in the world's capital markets charts the struggle to join the select group of top-flight firms. But a number of banks have failed to boost their position through acquisitions, and some of the most improved firms are those that have grown organically. A synthesis of all the polls run in the magazine in 1997, the poll evaluates underwriting, trading and advisory activities over the past year. By Rebecca Dobson.

Velvet costs are piling up

Euromoney January 1998

An easy transition to capitalism is proving a mixed blessing in the Czech Republic. The so-called Velvet Revolution has left many essential works undone. Banks remain in state hands and underegulated markets have encouraged asset stripping and fraud. Then as former prime minister Vaclav Klaus began to get serious about change, his government fell. In the ensuing political stalemate, reform is the chief victim. Nigel Dudley reports.

Keep the equity issues coming ...

Euromoney January 1998

Will Asia's economic crisis knock eastern Europe off course? Will political disagreement stall privatization? Will the region's small companies flock to join the stock market? Rebecca Bream gauges the flow of new east European equity in 1998 and looks ahead to the year's biggest deals.

Three ways to make a mark

Euromoney January 1998

Spanish banking is clearly segmented by strategy, domestic banks competing for the retail markets and foreign banks heavily involved in offering services to multinationals and attempting to develop lower-level corporate business. With some privatizations still to be undertaken and rapid development of the equity market at both issuer and investor level there's substantial growth to play for. Margaret Popper reports.

Assessing the damage: Uncertain times in the currency markets

Euromoney January 1998

The crisis in Asia is changing perceptions about almost every currency, and no-one is certain what will happen next. Suzanne Miller reports on uncertain times in the currency markets.

Editorial

Star-gazing in Switzerland

Euromoney January 1998

Front end

The boom in Doom

Euromoney January 1998

Power dressing finale

Euromoney January 1998

Counting the weeks

Euromoney January 1998

It's the way he tells them

Euromoney January 1998

The pundit's progress

Euromoney January 1998

Why didn't they fly in Breuer?

Euromoney January 1998

Twinkle little euro

Euromoney January 1998

Market monitor

Emerging markets

People

Deal insider

MTN issuer

An issuer with an open mind

Euromoney January 1998

Against the tide

Emerging banks: threat of systemic collapse?

Euromoney January 1998

Economic growth in several major east Asian, Latin American and eastern European economies will halt in 1998. Emerging market banks' $550 billion of non-performing loans (probably well above $600 billion if unofficial estimates are correct) may cause a rash of failures ­ or even systemic financial crisis in some countries. Korea, China and Slovakia are among the most vulnerable.

Financial lawyer

Beware state guarantees

Euromoney January 1998

Lending to European borrowers backed by a government guarantee should be as safe as houses. But beware of the state aid rules, warns Christopher Stoakes.

The Moorgate saga

Michel rings a bell

Euromoney January 1998