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October 1998

October 1998

Which banks will weather the storm?

Euromoney October 1998

With markets in turmoil and attention switching from returns to credit quality, new ways for assessing counterparties are needed. Our second emerging-market bank (Emba) ratings bring a temperature-taking approach to credit. While rating agencies pore over accounts and spend hours interviewing managers, we use the raw financial ratios that drive much of the ratings process. The results are always provocative. This year Emba highlights island paradises in the Caribbean and the Mediterranean where economies and banks have stayed clear of the fallout from global markets. Those seeking banking peace and pina coladas should read on. Brian Caplen reports.

JP Morgan

Battle of the bulge bracket

Euromoney October 1998

Two decades and billions of dollars ago, Wall Street's most noble credit institution began to reinvent itself as a hybrid investment-cum-wholesale bank. For a while it seemed unstoppable. But this year JP Morgan stumbled - amid rumours of takeover. Parity with those bulge bracket firms still seems so near - and yet so far. Antony Currie reports.

Risk management

Models get a thrashing

Euromoney October 1998

Leading banks, academics and regulators spent two days stress-testing themselves and the latest in credit risk models. David Shirreff reports.

Dutch banking

Rabobank seeks the global niche

Euromoney October 1998

It's the only private-sector bank to have retained its triple-A rating. What's more, Rabobank is the only foreign bank to have an office in Wagga Wagga. This cooperative, with 467 member banks in the Netherlands, was viewed as a domestic farmers' bank. But for three years that has been changing. First there were moves into insurance and asset management in the Netherlands. Then, for the past year-and-a-half, Rabobank International has been developing as an investment bank. Antony Currie spoke to Henk Visser, member of Rabobank Group's managing board, and Alex von Ungern-Sternberg, head of global investment banking.

Japan

Life, but not as we know it

Euromoney October 1998

Meet some of the world's biggest investors. The 10 largest Japanese life insurance companies control assets of more than $1 trillion. But with a protected market and no shareholders to answer to, they have always done things a little differently to the rest of us. Now as insolvency fears and foreign competition grow, that is starting to change. Jack Lowenstein reports.

Corporate governance

A question of ownership

Euromoney October 1998

We are dominated by ideals: perfect tax systems, monetary discipline, level playing fields and - above all - unambiguous lines of ownership. In the real world, though, financial systems and ownership structures are never quite what they seem. The governance of a US joint-stock company is not that far removed from a Chinese village-owned enterprise. And this may not be the best time to impose our ideals on Asia, argues Harrison Young.

Bank crash

Sigma triggers global meltdown

Euromoney October 1998

Six months into European monetary union there's a crisis, but this has little to do with the euro. It's a classic banking fiasco kicked off because too many people believed in one man's Big Idea. Sound familiar? David Shirreff reports.

French banking

The calm before the storm

Euromoney October 1998

French banks are starting to restructure and consolidate. But they remain obsessed by the domestic market and are more concerned with market share than return on equity. All that will change with the euro. Rebecca Bream reports.

Nordic Capital Markets

Norway gets the urge to merge

Euromoney October 1998

Suddenly merger mania has reached Scandinavia's most insular banking market. But as Chris Wright reports, in Norway banks that want to merge have to make some strange moves.

Two approaches to expansion

Euromoney October 1998

Svenska Handelsbanken and ABN Amro and its subsidiary Alfred Berg are major players in regional expansion and integration of financial services in the Nordic countries.

Early days for corporate bonds

Euromoney October 1998

Corporate bonds are even less developed in Scandinavia that in the rest of Europe, but a ratings culture could change all that.

Convertibles

Preaching to the converted

Euromoney October 1998

It is rare that the interests of investors and issuers coincide exactly, and when they do they have generally been forced to. That is what has happened in the European convertible market. Right now, this halfway-house hybrid does make sense as a defensive outperformer for investors, and a cheap, flexible funding tool for corporates and privatizing governments. Simon Brady reports.

European brokers poll

Striking out for the sectors

Euromoney October 1998

Some of the bigger players in European equities reckon the single currency isn't a major driver of the sectoral approach - they were heading that way long ago and the real goal is to look at sectors globally. As Emu approaches, though, smaller local brokers will have to adapt to the new ways or go under. Some will sink but others will survive on specialist knowledge, particularly of small and mid-cap companies. Julian Marshall and Sudip Roy report.

Dealing with information overload

Euromoney October 1998

Fund managers are deluged by research information. Brokers didn't really consider this when they first started providing data electronically. Now they've been persuaded that choice, not undifferentiated quantity, is what is wanted. Mary Cullinane and Simon Asplen-Taylor look at the latest developments.

European Brokers Poll: Overall European results

Euromoney October 1998

European Brokers Poll: Country results

Euromoney October 1998

European Brokers Poll: Sector results

Euromoney October 1998

European municipal bonds

See Naples and buy

Euromoney October 1998

In the west, shrinking government, and regions competing for funds under the euro; in the east, a need to upgrade infrastructure and outshine the sovereign credit. The emerging European municipal bond market looks more attractive than bank debt. Marcus Walker reports.

Egyptian securities

Down but not out

Euromoney October 1998

A falling stock market, a dearth of new deals and a faltering privatization programme: on the face of it the Egyptian securities market seems to be in trouble. But look deeper and the picture is not so bleak. Stock prices are holding up better than elsewhere and there is strong government commitment towards broadening and deepening Cairo's capital markets. Philip Moore reports.

Editorial

LTCM: Luck, leverage and Δ $

Euromoney October 1998

Front End

Slap-up research

Euromoney October 1998

Driving force

Euromoney October 1998

Out of sight, not out the door

Euromoney October 1998

Daimler and S&P in head-on collision

Euromoney October 1998

Systemic threat

Euromoney October 1998

Photographic history

Euromoney October 1998

Goodbye Mathis mate

Euromoney October 1998

Market monitor

Emerging markets

People

Financial Lawyer

Credit where cashflow is due

Euromoney October 1998

Beware the legal pitfalls of receivables financing if you are new to the game, says Christopher Stoakes.

Against the Tide

A financially induced recession

Euromoney October 1998