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March 1999

March 1999

China's hidden timebomb

Euromoney March 1999

Behind the thriving anarchy of China's coastline there's an industrial hinterland that is depressed, debt-ridden and still largely state-controlled. Few bosses of the state-owned enterprises there have the power to cut their workforce or pay bonuses. Even if they do, the state-owned banks are keeping them and the competition on life-support. Overcapacity, pollution and poverty are omnipresent, part-mitigated by the huge Three Gorges Dam project, which employs 25,000 people and will displace two million. Euromoney's Steven Irvine followed investment scout Richard Tsiang into the interior to see China's true economic heartland - a textile company that raise pigs, a salt plant with its eyes on a broadcast-equipment producer and a television factory that wants to give away its products

Features

Russia: Every man for himself

Euromoney March 1999

After months of frustration, the foreign banks negotiating repayment of Russian debt are as divided among themselves as they are against the Russian government. Deutsche Bank's decision to accept the latest offer while leading a 19-bank committee still fighting over terms has caused uproar. Individual banks now have to decide whether to follow Deutsche's example or take legal action in a last-ditch attempt to recover some of the $40 billion in rouble debt on which the government defaulted last August. Jack Dyson reports.

Euro Bonds: Let a thousand yield curves bloom

Euromoney March 1999

No single benchmark yield curve has emerged for the euro. So there is some confusion about how Eurobond issues should be priced. That anomaly raises deeper questions about how government debt and its derivatives will trade in future and which electronic platform will grab the lion's share. David Shirreff reports.

European Bond Indices: The search for a true index

Euromoney March 1999

How best to track performance in the European bond markets is hotly debated by the region's bond-trading firms. There will be rich rewards for the index compilers that come out on top in euroland. But defining the market to meet investors' needs is proving a challenge. Peter Lee reports.

Privatization: Keep the state out of business

Euromoney March 1999

There is a growing backlash - academic and political - against privatization. Influential figures have even argued for re-nationalization. But given the wealth of evidence in favour of privatization, this would be a disaster, argues James Smalhout.

IDB's big shots carve out a deal

Euromoney March 1999

Antipathy between the Inter-American Development Bank's biggest shareholders -Brazil and the US - is long-standing. But when Brazil faced financial ruin they struck a new deal: the IDB can now fund IMF-style emergency lending programmes, and turn its soft-currency reserves into concessionary loans. But the bank's smaller members resent how the deal was done, and it has stoked up political and ideological differences among the staff. Brian Caplen reports.

Latin America: Andean banks tough it out

Euromoney March 1999

A slowdown in domestic economic growth and meltdown in Russia and Brazil have put pressure on financial institutions across the Andean region. Justine Newsome examines what it will take for the banks to survive the storm.

Brazil: Sink or swim

Euromoney March 1999

As Brazil picks up the pieces after its currency devaluation, it needs to fight off spiralling inflation and recession. The country's ability to regain investor confidence is crucial to the whole of Latin America. Jonathan Wheatley reports

Euroland Municipal Bonds: New city states

Euromoney March 1999

The euro is expected to speed the growth of a US-style market in local-authority bonds. In euroland, nations now matter less: cities and regions are becoming economic and financial actors in their own right. Banks are fighting hard to woo them as clients. But would-be investors aren't happy with the poor liquidity. What does this fast-growing market need to succeed? Marcus Walker reports.

Basque Country: Spreading the word with bonds

Euromoney March 1999

While Europe's states integrate, its regions come to the fore as economic actors. None is more determined to make itself noticed than the Basque Country, historically one of Europe's leading financial and industrial centres. It's part of a growing club of regions who tap international capital markets, looking for cheap funds and self-promotion. It's also a standard-bearer for the argument that euroland regions can be better credits than states. Marcus Walker reports.

German Capital Markets: Making the move to centre stage

Euromoney March 1999

The launch of the euro seems to have strengthened German banks' competitive advantage, rather than undermining it as some had expected. Despite increased competition, the capital market is going from strength to strength. And feeding on this growth is Frankfurt - home to the European Central Bank - fast becoming the financial epicentre of euroland. Is this all too good to last? Laura Covill reports.

Nordic banks: Jostling for supremacy

Euromoney March 1999

The Nordic region, with its concentration of internationally recognized corporates, prosperous retail markets and developed capital markets, is an attractive prize. The race to become the regional powerhouse is on. Euan Hagger reports.

Portuguese Banking: Carving out a new role

Euromoney March 1999

As a wave of consolidation sweeps much larger banking markets in Europe, Portugal's banks are eyeing up potential acquisitions and merger partners. Will limited alliances provide the scope the banks need to compete on the wider European stage? Or are they natural targets for acquisitive banks in Spain and elsewhere? Margaret Popper reports.

Investors converge on Hungary

Euromoney March 1999

Fixed-income investors are piling into Hungary, gambling that interest rates will fall as it prepares for accession to the European Union. But is their enthusiasm justified? Charles Olivier reports.

Emerging Market Currencies: Three cheers for dollarization

Euromoney March 1999

Developing countries don't need central banks, argues Steve Hanke. They may not even need their own currencies. Argentina should lead the way by unilaterally adopting the dollar.

Country Risk March 1999: In search of a safe haven

Euromoney March 1999

Editorial

Good news for shareholders

Euromoney March 1999

Letting Russia off the hook

Euromoney March 1999

Front end

Hii! Yaa! That's your credit cut

Euromoney March 1999

Cleaning up in the markets

Euromoney March 1999

Go-faster Guy

Euromoney March 1999

One damned crisis after another

Euromoney March 1999

A not-so-central bank

Euromoney March 1999

Botín: Putting the boot in

Euromoney March 1999

One does not mess with the head of the Botín clan, Spain's most powerful banking dynasty, even if you happen to be the boss's daughter.

Life after trading

Euromoney March 1999

Market monitor

Emerging markets

Against the tide

Financial lawyer

Keep your winnings on deposit

Euromoney March 1999

Bankers might be forgiven for thinking that when lawyers get their teeth into a juicy case they make it run and run. But, warns Christopher Stoakes, we have still to hear the last of the swaps cases

People

Flipside

The curse of Copacabana

Euromoney March 1999