April 2004

April 2004

Credit research poll 2004

Euromoney April 2004

Results of Euromoney's biggest ever credit research poll indicate that the development of relationships with continental European investors is crucial to success.

Fund management

Catching profits from the falling dollar

Euromoney April 2004

Several fund managers are taking advantage of the increased interest in currency markets by setting up high-margin currency hedge funds. But before they invest in such products, investors should examine the offerings closely. Julie Dalla-Costa reports.

Western Europe

Commerzbank bites back

Euromoney April 2004

This has been an exciting few weeks for Commerzbank. First it smiled its way through yet more poor results, while promising better times ahead. Days later, it sealed a merger with a retail bank. Then it awarded such low bonuses to securities staff that it risked losing talent. Here, senior executives discuss the bank's strategy, prospects for consolidation and the trouble with bonuses. Katie Martin reports

Equity markets

BNPP finds solution to equities woes

Euromoney April 2004

Key French brokerages are remodelling their equities divisions in an effort to build a pan-European business. And the solution that BNP Paribas has found is the most radical. But rivals say its new joint venture is an admission of failure. Peter Koh reports.

Crédit Agricole shuffles off its equities overlap

Euromoney April 2004

Ways to escape catch-22

Euromoney April 2004

To attract investors, smaller drugs developers need to show that they have products close to regulatory approval. But to reach that stage requires vast investments of high-risk capital. There are no easy ways to plug the gap but alliances with big pharma and forward sales of royalties can help. Mark Brown reports.

Emerging Europe

Watch out for the reverse brain drain

Euromoney April 2004

The west should beware - it is about to be invaded by hordes from the east. They are not benefit-seeking immigrants but rather bargain-hunting entrepreneurs. Soon they might even be buying your bank. And in Turkey, local-born bankers with western skills are determined to drag their country into the modern capital markets era. Julian Evans profiles some of the leading eastern European entrepreneurs who are taking regional finance to a global level and Metin Munir looks at the pioneers seeking to pull Turkish banking out of stagnation.

An iron fist in the liberalization glove

Euromoney April 2004

As Putin's rule becomes more established, the political trend in Russia is firmly authoritarian and centralist. But that is not necessarily a barrier to liberal economic reforms.As Putin's rule becomes more established, the political trend in Russia is firmly authoritarian and centralist. But that is not necessarily a barrier to liberal economic reforms. Ben Aris reports.

Taking care of the golden goose

Euromoney April 2004

Russia's dependence on energy exports - and high energy prices - is growing. The government wants to play a bigger part in fostering this golden goose and seems to have found a subtle way of doing so without renationalization. Ben Aris reports.

A banking reform breakthrough

Euromoney April 2004

Bank reform and the development of a properly structured mortgage market have been on the Russian agenda for years. Only now does implementation look set to begin. Ben Aris reports.

Good-bye triple-digit growth

Euromoney April 2004

The days when unselective punts on the Moscow bourse could bring triple-digit returns are probably over. Analysts now point to more modest gains from cautious trawls of smaller companies, private-equity funds and real estate. Ben Aris reports.

Ukraine emerges from Russia’s shadow

Euromoney April 2004

Its bonds have traditionally traded wider than Russia's, but with its potential for a diversified manufacturing economy and a resurgence in sovereign debt issuance, Ukraine is winning renewed interest from emerging-market funds. Nick Parsons reports.

Anatoliy Shapovalov: Building up investors' trust

Euromoney April 2004

Anatoliy Shapovalov, deputy minister of finance of Ukraine and head of sovereign borrowing

Behind schedule to catch the EU train

Euromoney April 2004

Delayed and inadequate reforms mean that Romania faces the prospect of failing to meet its 2007 deadline for entry into the EU. Guy Norton reports.

Croatia’s government makes a strong start

Euromoney April 2004

Three months into Croatia's new nationalist-led government's term, the verdict is so far, so good. The administration has worked double time to promote Croatia's chances of following neighbouring Slovenia into the EU. But it must now boost growth and get on top of the country's deteriorating public finances. Peter Lee reports.

To spend or not to spend

Euromoney April 2004

Kazakh president Nursultan Nazarbayev, pictured below, surprised Anvar Saidenov when he appointed him as the new head of the central bank. But Saidenov has an enviable task in working out how to spend the new and growing wealth that the country is gaining from oil. Christopher Pala reports.

Intesa bid lifts hopes for Turkish economy

Euromoney April 2004

If Banca Intesa follows through on its interest in Garanti Bankasi, Turkey's banking market and the general economy could receive a big boost. David Judson reports.

Garanti's second chance

Euromoney April 2004

Corner shop capital markets

Euromoney April 2004

The capital-raising supermarkets available to companies in most advanced economies are a long way off for Turkey. The shabby state of capital markets is in large part an outcome of years of public sector financial chaos. Metin Munir reports.

Private banking

Benefits of an open approach

Euromoney April 2004

Customer pressure for a wider choice of top-performing products is driving banks into doing what was once unthinkable - selling their competitors' wares. But they are also finding this trend towards open architecture is encouraging them to focus on their strengths and improve their own performance. Helen Avery reports.

How Coutts crossed the gap with a mighty leap

Euromoney April 2004

Nordic banks respond to demanding clients

Euromoney April 2004

Having suffered significant losses when the technology bubble burst, Scandinavia's high-net-worth individuals have become more demanding about products and services they expect from their banks. And with the number of wealthy predicted to rise, banks are being spurred to tailor their offerings to suit these clients. Helen Avery reports.

Middle East

Egypt enjoys new optimism

Euromoney April 2004

A new central bank governor with a firmer grip on exchange rate policy, a modest upturn in growth and a respectable equity market performance have increased confidence in Egypt's economy. But privatizations and banking reform are major uncompleted tasks. Nigel Dudley reports.

Emerging market debt

No cause for panic in emerging markets

Euromoney April 2004

Leverage in the emerging markets is now approaching an all-time high, according to fund managers and sell-side analysts. But the structure of investment patterns in this asset class means a crash is unlikely. Felix Salmon reports.

Debt markets

AFT reflects on a new asset class

Euromoney April 2004

Agence France Trésor was nervous about becoming the first issuer of euro-denominated inflation-linked bonds but it is pleased with the results. Now its regular linker issuance schedule is helping to bring certainty to the development of the curve. Katie Martin reports

Linkers seek new direction

Euromoney April 2004

The inflation-linked market has unexpected pockets of demand, few natural issuers and an unusually close relationship between derivatives and bonds. But it works. Banks now need to work out where the next set of structural demand will come from and how to position themselves to profit from it. Katie Martin reports

Pfandbriefe cannot count on brand loyalty

Euromoney April 2004

With increasing competition in the covered bond market, Pfandbrief issuers are working hard to retain their pre-eminence. But as the Landesbanken prepare to lose their state guarantees, Pfandbriefe are becoming a crucial financing tool. Mark Brown reports.

Editorial

Front end

breakingviews

Guaranteed pain at WestLB

Euromoney April 2004

KPN's charm offensive

Euromoney April 2004

Rhodia's acid test

Euromoney April 2004

Market monitor

Emerging markets

Deal insider

Thunderbird Three is go for BNP Paribas

Euromoney April 2004

A ground-breaking collateralized debt obligation offering a fixed level of recoveries targets investors who want a simpler structure.

Allianz's hybrid deal wins it C basket treatment

Euromoney April 2004

Against the tide

Against the tide: A wall of worry is building

Euromoney April 2004

Money will, of course, remain cheap. Indeed, the forward market now forecasts that the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates this year. But it has been cheap for a long time. It has already driven massive amounts into equities and reduced volatility to historical lows. In early January, the options put-to-call ratio reached levels indicating that no-one wanted to take out any insurance against equity markets falling. However, the recent turn in these indicators suggests that a wall of worry is now being built.

People

Angel Ron

Euromoney April 2004

CEO, Banco Popular

Donald B Marron

Euromoney April 2004

CEO and founder, Lightyear Capital

Financial laywer

Invensys pays dearly to break the trend

Euromoney April 2004

Investors in European high-yield bonds have fought hard for structural security. Issuers that bypass it will have to pay a premium.