The truth about Asian investment banking
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Thursday, January 12, 2012

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  • abigail, your analysis seems solid except for the part where you leave out the 2 most global banks in your list of global banks: Citi and HSBC. Big oversight and a bit embarrassing for you.

    13 Jan 2012 11:38

  • Dear reader, you talk about global banks. I am talking about global investment banks. HSBC's investment banking aspirations are aligned to its emerging market focus. They do not want to be big or global in pure investment banking/M&A. I think as regards the future, the jury is still out for Citi and BAC-ML as regards being one of the top global investment banks. This will depend on whether they are distracted by other parts of their franchise ie dodgy legacy assets.

    13 Jan 2012 20:02

    Author: abigal with attitude

  • Of all the deals that could have been done in 2008, this is the one that should never have been done. The acquisition was always going to result in losses, which in turn translated into a ratings downgrade, which in turn created a loss of relationships, and so on down the spiral.
    The Strategy defined in 2007 was "Deliver Asia to the world, and deliver Europe to Asia" - and now it should be "Deliver Asia to Asia" (and let the rest of the world sort itself out).


    16 Jan 2012 11:02

  • Abigail - still the most perceptive commentator on ibanking strategy & execution, and the personalities that impact it. Nomura was always merely an escape chute for the Lehman crew (pity the passengers, but this is Ibanking...if they cant stand the sharks, get out of the water). Notwithstanding Nomura's grand hopes, the virus of Lehman individual self-interest was inevitably going to kill the host.

    16 Jan 2012 17:43

    Author: Ian


Abigail on Nomura: an ugly end to a messy episode

Abigail Hofman has consistently called for Nomura to rethink its global strategy. What was behind the sudden departure of Jesse Bhattal, and what needs to happen next?


 
Was Jesse Bhattal fired from Nomura? Did he jump? Or was it a mutual parting of the ways?

In investment banking, senior executives are rarely fired. Just as politicians leave to “spend more time with their families”, top bankers leave “to pursue opportunities outside the firm”. Or they “retire”, often only to reappear in a new role at a different firm after a period of reflection.

For Bhattal’s departure, the official announcement settled on the retirement option. But in this case, there could be more to meet the eye than is normally the case.

What’s clear is that Nomura’s poor performance meant there were some tough decisions to be made at the firm.

As I wrote in my October 2011 column: “An impeccable source told me: ‘Nomura has to fire Jesse Bhattal (the current head of wholesale and deputy president of the firm who used to be Lehman’s chief executive in Asia) and bring in someone who is unemotional about the past and prepared to make drastic cuts. They need to get out of all wholesale businesses that are not profitable and shrink back to areas that build on their core expertise as Japan’s leading brokerage firm.’ Source is correct and after wasting billions of dollars of shareholders’ money, Nomura should swallow hard and follow his suggestions.”

Bhattal was an experienced operator, although one source who knows him well says: “Jesse is a fantastic salesman, but he was never so good at the strategy side.”

Despite this, could it be true that he had been pressing Nomura’s senior management to make deep cuts to the business, which were more than the paymasters in Tokyo were prepared to stomach? Or did he, as another source suggests, want to pull back from Nomura’s costly equities division and reinvest in its fixed income franchise?

Such discussions are never easy, and even harder to bring to a conclusion that suits both parties. It’s perhaps fair to say that there are often two sides to the story. Here, the reality would appear to be that Nomura and Bhattal were under severe pressure and on different paths.

The pressure was exacerbated by Moody’s decision in November to place the firm’s credit rating on review for a possible downgrade. A parting of the ways became inevitable – whoever instigated it, and however it was concluded.

Nomura has reached an unpalatable crossroad: what to do with the wholesale division that it substantially expanded when it acquired the European and Asian operations of Lehman Brothers in October 2008?

The press release announcing Bhattal’s decision to retire from his position as president and CEO of the wholesale division states: “Mr Bhattal’s responsibilities will be assumed on an interim basis by Nomura group COO and chairman for wholesale, Takumi Shibata, who will also determine the strategy to appoint his permanent successor.”

The press release also talks about Nomura being well-positioned to establish itself as “Asia’s number one global investment bank.” I would take that with a generous pinch of salt.

What should we make of all this? I was probably one of the last financial journalists to sit down with Bhattal.

My October article did not go down well with the Japanese firm.

Nevertheless, in early November, (after Nomura had announced a poor set of second quarter results: the wholesale division lost $1 billion), I was ushered down to Nomura’s gleaming new London headquarters to meet Jesse Bhattal.

We spent an hour together and got on well. In my January 2012 column, I wrote: “Jesse was charming but adamant that Nomura was on the right track. I asserted robustly that the $1.2 billion of announced cuts would prove insufficient and more drastic action was needed. This year will prove which of us had read the runes correctly. I may be a killjoy but I remain cautious on the Nomura story.”

Perhaps I was too cautious about just how desperate the situation was.

Any chief executive who leaves a firm voluntarily before the annual bonus round could be accused of letting his colleagues down. However, Bhattal may have felt that he was losing traction with the Japanese paymasters and would not be able to deliver for his people. A source muses: “Jesse must have known things were going badly, and perhaps he wanted to get out while he had some dignity left.”

And compensation goes to the heart of many of the problems at Nomura, according to one banker who used to be part of the business: “That’s one of the main things that’s wrong over there – everyone focused on personal gain rather than doing the right thing for the firm. If ever one wanted to make an example of the impact of the wrong compensation culture on a firm, this is it.”

This criticism may be valid, but Nomura might have to shell out still more money. Many of the key staff in the wholesale division were close to Jesse and may demand guarantees to stay. I expect further senior staff turnover.

Indeed Tarun Jotwani, head of global markets, left Nomura this week. This additional departure contributes to the impression that the firm is floundering. One banker close to the situation says Jotwani might have expected to take on Bhattal’s role as head of the wholesale business, although a Nomura source insists that Jotwani was let go as the firm sought to unwind the global markets division that he headed.

Jotwani was a FOB or “a friend of Bhattal”. Last March, he was promoted from head of fixed income to head of global markets, which included both the equities and fixed income divisions.

Jotwani may have become a bit big for his boots. A mole murmurs conspiratorially about “Jotwani alienating some colleagues and developing a rock-star mentality: metaphorically demanding pink pillow-cases and freshly squeezed guava juice like Beyoncé or Madonna.” Another source is more positive: ”He’s very capable and hard-working...a solid performer.”
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