ITS A SURE sign of a disjointed market when investors welcome news of a sovereign downgrade.
But thats exactly what happened when, as 2009 drew to a close, Moodys Investors Service cut its rating for Greece by just one notch, from A1 to A2. In previous weeks, both Fitch and Standard & Poors had placed Greece at the triple-B level. Moodys maintenance of that one single-A rating meant that Greek government bonds would still be acceptable as collateral at the European Central Bank crucial for the countrys banks as they coped with liquidity concerns and a fast-deteriorating economy.
Investors breathed a sigh of relief. Government bond prices jumped and the stock market rose. Hopefully, the worst of the news was out of the way and Greek banks could start to look forward.
That process actually began in...