November 2009

Australia: The carry trade is back

Takes lead in increasing interest rates; Australian dollar strengthens


Has a non-US rate rise ever been so closely watched? On October 6, the Reserve Bank of Australia raised the interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.25%, thus becoming the first developed nation to start tightening monetary policy since the global financial crisis. In some measure it signals a formal end to the crisis.

The move didn’t go down universally well. Ben Potter, research analyst at IG Markets in Melbourne, calls it "both extraordinary and unnecessary". In his view the RBA had plenty of time and scope to delay rate increases until after Christmas, and since there were no imbalances in the economy there was no obvious need for an adjustment.

Normalized policies

"We cannot fathom today’s decision, especially considering...


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