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China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

August 2009

Guaranteed bonuses return


It would be foolish for any in the industry to dismiss those expressing outrage at the resumption of enormous bonus payments as mere populist political posturers. If firms can’t prevent themselves from offering such deals, then others must do it for them


The core skills of investment banking – marrying up the capital needs of financially stretched issuers and the investment objectives of those with cash still to put to work even after wrenching portfolio losses – have never been more valuable.

So it should not come as a shock or provoke resentment that Goldman Sachs, still the world’s pre-eminent investment bank, pulled in record quarterly equity underwriting revenues between April and June. With banks still reluctant to lend, corporations and financial institutions need to repair their over-leveraged balance sheets and raise funds. Those capital markets intermediaries that help this to happen are doing a better job for the global economy than the still-reeling banks.

So we should be pleased by Goldman’s profits. They are evidence that the capital markets are doing their job at a vital moment for the economy.

But Goldman’s senior management and employees and...


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