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Private Banking and Wealth Management Survey 2012

May 2009

Monetary policy: ECB poised to focus on quantitative easing


In May the European Central Bank may announce whether it will employ unconventional monetary policy measures. Throughout March speculation built that the ECB would unveil a plan to buy sovereign and even private debt in the secondary market, especially after ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet failed to deny such rumours. As it was, in addition to disappointing the market with just a 25 basis point cut in the key ECB rate to 1.25% in April, Trichet stated that any decision to deploy new non-standard monetary policy tools would be deferred until May.

If the ECB does usher in quantitative easing it will be following in the footsteps of the UK, US, Switzerland and Japan, but would face political pressures that are unique to the eurozone. One of the most obvious political problems it faces is that each individual country issues its own euro-denominated sovereign debt and at rates that infer...


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