China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

The truth about Asian investment banking

May 2009

Goldman vs the government


Goldman Sachs received plaudits following its first-quarter results. It beat all estimates when it posted earnings of $1.8 billion, equating to $3.39 a share, compared with expectations of $1.80.


But detractors were quick to point out that the quarterly results would have been substantially weaker had the $1 billion loss from December 2008 been included (Goldman’s year-end moved to a calendar-year basis when it became a bank holding company).

Any profits are to be welcomed when the economy is contracting at an unprecedented rate. So we should not be too churlish about the fact that the US bank made most of its profits through trading and principal investments, offsetting a decline in fees generated from investment banking activities. Some 70% of earnings came from fixed income, currencies and commodities – twice as much as is normally the case.

Banks like to portray the way they make money as...


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