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China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

March 2009

Banks stick with Brazil

by Chloe Hayward

Despite their mounting woes, several US and European banks claim that they remain committed to Latin America, especially Brazil, according to their regional heads, although some are paring down their presence.


"Any thoughtful observer should see that Brazil is one of the most important core economies in the world and we need to get it right. We are deeply committed to Brazil," says Chris Harland, vice-chairman and head of Latin America at Morgan Stanley.

Despite a slowdown in consumer spending in Brazil and a record 650,000 job losses in December, bankers remain optimistic about Latin America’s biggest economy. Brazil’s predominantly locally owned banks are mostly solvent, with a capital adequacy ratio of about 14%, above its Basle benchmark of 11%. In addition, quick government action, including that taken by state development bank BNDES, has helped inject liquidity into the financial system. Policymakers are still confident that the economy will grow this year at a rate of between 0.8% and 2%, despite the deepening global recession.

Outstanding candidates

Deutsche Bank and HSBC are also confident about...


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