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China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

January 2009

Russia’s bankers ride out the storm

After enjoying years of plenty, the country’s investment banks are facing up to the prospect of leaner times ahead. Guy Norton reports from Moscow on how they are looking to survive the economic downturn.


RUSSIAN OFFICIALS ARE nothing if not optimistic. Take this choice assessment of the prospects for the Russian investment banking industry from finance minister Alexei Kudrin. In early October, in an interview with Russian business daily Vedomosti, he charted the development in the relative fortunes of US and Russian investment banks in the following terms: "Five leading US investment banks are no longer what they used to be. Bear Stearns was sold, Lehman Brothers went bankrupt. Merrill Lynch was sold, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley abandoned their status as investment banks because of the risks they had taken and because of the need to receive additional support from the Federal Reserve. Soon our Renaissance Capital may become the biggest investment bank in the world."

While the US investment banking industry has undoubtedly taken an unprecedented battering in recent months, there’s certainly no sense of Schadenfreude among the Muscovite investment banking community....


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