China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

The truth about Asian investment banking

November 2008

European government bonds: Times breed unconventional wisdom


Unprecedented high spreads between European government bonds are prompting some radical – and frankly unworkable – new ideas.


The levels of risk aversion among investors has precipitated a flight to quality that has forced spreads on European government paper to worrying levels. Italian BTP yield spreads are almost 100 basis points over benchmark German bunds. Ten-year Greek issues are now 120bp above their German counterparts. With funding this expensive for non-core European sovereigns, the European Primary Dealers Association (EPDA) is revisiting an idea first discussed in 2000: a common European government bond. The EPDA argues that since the government bond markets have become so fragmented the benefits of such a product are increasingly apparent, especially to the smaller, lower rated issuers.

The association outlined...


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