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Bank deleveraging has barely started

Bank deleveraging has barely started

Banks lending money to governments to help fund bank bailouts looks horribly circular

The US treasury market reaches breaking point

The US treasury market reaches breaking point

The structural issue that could cause the world's market of last resort to grind to a halt

Tuesday, September 2, 2008

Finance ministry likely to cut 2009 GDP forecast, raise 2008 CPI by end-week.





Finance ministry likely to cut 2009 GDP forecast, raise 2008 CPI by end-week. The finance ministry is still working on an upgrade to its 2009 budget guidelines - after the Q2 GDP data's break-down published on Friday proved different that expected - but is set to publish the outcome by the end of this week, deputy finance minister Katarzyna Zajdel-Kurowska said. She admitted that the ministry was inclined to cut the 2009 GDP growth forecast from 5.0% expected in the June document, while it could raise the average annual inflation forecast for this year - from 4.1% set in June - though keeping the next year's figure at 2.9%. Last week, the daily Rzeczpospolita reported, quoting unofficial sources in the government, that the finance ministry was close to lowering its 2009 GDP growth forecast to 4.6%. On Friday, the Central Statistical Office (GUS) said that GDP (seasonally unadjusted) increased by 5.8% y/y in Q2vs. 6.1% in Q1. In nominal terms, GDP was PLN 308,468.5mn. In H1, GDP grew by 5.9% PLN 602,522.3mn. ISB







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