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FX poll 2008:

FX poll 2008:

FX moves to centre stage

Securitisation is not dead

Securitisation is not dead

By Michael Heise, chief economist Allianz Group/Dresdner Bank

April 2008

Brazilian government stuck with appreciation dilemma


Measures to boost the competitiveness of Brazil’s exporters might well be fruitless.




The Brazilian government is in a dilemma. In a last-ditch attempt to stop the appreciation of the Brazilian real undermining the competitiveness of its exporters, the government has imposed a new tax on foreigners buying local debt.

Brazil’s exporters are happy that the government has finally acted. But analysts are concerned that the authorities might suffer a rising risk premium from deterring foreign investors, without achieving the desired benefit of halting the real’s appreciation.

In mid-2007, the Brazilian real was trading at two to the dollar, and by the end of the year...


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