Liquid real estate Issue 05

Australian listed property trusts hit the buffers – at last


For the past five years or so, commentators have frowned at Australia’s listed property trust sector, which has consistently outperformed every other major asset class in the country, and argued that this success couldn’t last. And for the past five years they’ve been wrong.


But not any more. After a decade in which staid old property trusts beat mainstream equities time and again, the market has fallen dramatically, and rolling five-year returns from LPTs are below the broader market for the first time this century. And how: the LPT sector is down more than 25% in the three months to January 31 and logged a negative calendar year return (–8.4%) for 2007. There might be worse to come. It’s a far cry from the 34.1% the sector delivered in 2006.

A large part of the problem has to do with selling triggered by the difficulties afflicting Centro Properties Group, which in December announced that it had been unable to roll over A$1.3 billion ($1.2 billion) of soon-to-expire short-term loans, triggering a 77%...


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