China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

The truth about Asian investment banking

March 2008

Portugal: A tale of big and small

by Peter Koh

When global events blew across the stock market, it sent Portugal’s smaller companies scurrying back into their shells just as they were being tempted out. That leaves only the biggest prepared to face the storm.


THE SENIOR PORTUGUESE banker rails at fate. "It’s just so unfair," he groans, echoing what many in the market must be feeling. "Just when our economy has finally got its house is order and is in a great position to really take advantage of growth in Spain and Europe the opportunities in these economies are starting to look less bright."

Indeed, the small size of Portugal’s domestic market and its dependence on international trade, particularly with Spain and the rest of the EU, leaves its economy particularly exposed to global rather than domestic economic factors. Although this is sometimes a blessing, it is proving to be more of a handicap this time around.

After a stellar performance in 2007, in which the main index of Portuguese stocks, the PSI 20, posted a total return of 19.8%, substantially outperforming the EuroStoxx index, which offered only 8%, the...


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