February 2008

Black holes and new stars

Analysts suggest where bank investors should look to invest next, and why.


No more level playing field as the cost of bank funding goes up

Well-capitalized banks with ample liquidity, diversified funding and conservative risk management will fare better during the coming downturn than the former champions that took on excessive leverage and risk in the bull market. Banks with businesses in emerging markets should benefit from more resilient earnings.

WHEN WILL THE bad news end for banks? It would take a brave investor to reply with conviction any time soon. Many investors are still in a state of shock at the speed with which banks have revealed losses on highly rated securities and assumed assets and liabilities that were once invisible in off-balance-sheet vehicles. If complex credit assets of the banks’ own devising and recently rated AAA can be marked down so savagely and so quickly, what else might be?

It seems that the CEOs of banks with trillion-dollar balance...


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