The truth about Asian investment banking
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December 2007

Monolines: Beyond protection


The monolines should survive this crisis, but only because the prospect of them being downgraded is an outcome too far for the battered credit market.


It is becoming increasingly difficult to be surprised by some of the illogical fallout from the credit crisis. But when wrapped triple-A bonds (with a double-A underlying) start to trade outside unwrapped double-A bonds for the same name, it really does seem that all reason has departed. This is what happened in November, when the Ambac-wrapped triple-A bonds issued by BT’s Telereal vehicle were trading wider than its unwrapped double-A bonds. In other words, the market saw the fact that the bonds were wrapped by a triple-A rated insurer as increasing, rather than reducing, the risk involved....


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