The truth about Asian investment banking
China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

August 1986

If it doesn't sell - swap it. (replacing unattractive fixed-rate bond issues with floating-rate notes on the Eurobond markets)

by Crabbe, Matthew


IF IT DOESN'T SELL--SWAP IT

It's one of the latest fads in the Eurobond market: repackaging cheap, fixed-rate bonds as floating-rate notes. The game, growing in the past two years, hotted up in March with the glut of unsaleable corporate straight bonds.

Morgan Guaranty in London claims to have done "hundreds of millions of dollars"-worth of such business in recent months. Citicorp has published a tombstone boasting $1 billion of fixed-to-floating synthetic bonds sold in the past year. Paribas Capital Markets says it did $500 million of dollar asset swaps in the first six months of this year, and around $200 million in other currencies. First Insterstate in London is also a major player; it's done around $750 million of synthetic bond deals in the past 12 months.

Like all swaps business, it's an arbitage play, and the spur to the market came with the widening of the Eurodollar/US...


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