Middle East equity research poll 2007: Award Winners
AT THE BEGINNING of May, stocks on the Bourse de Casablanca were trading on an average of 22 times earnings, the highest P/E ratio in the region. It was the end of a long bull run. But even as prices began to fall, most of the research in the country continued to be overwhelmingly positive about company prospects, and in some cases was even more positive than before.
Morocco, with only a handful of local banks producing at best acceptable research, is perhaps a far-flung example. Even so, throughout the Middle East and North Africa region, truly balanced research of the kind expected in more established financial centres is still elusive. "You hardly ever see sell recommendations. Any time you see a rating of hold, that is a sort of nice way to say sell. Most investors understand that," says Khaled Majeed, founder and investment manager of London-based Mena Capital, a fund that invests solely in the Middle East and North Africa region. According to Raed Zawaideh, a trader at state-owned government fund the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (Adia), less than 5% of research in the region is negative. When markets in the Middle East start to plunge, as many of them did in 2005/06, much of the research simply dries up, says Zawaideh.
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