ONE CREDIT, THE Republic of Indonesias 30-year bond, aptly sums up the status of Asias debt market. It is trading at around 210 basis points over the equivalent US benchmark, so investors are faced with a choice: place funds at three-month Libor or buy 30-year paper from Indonesia and earn an extra 150 basis points for their trouble. It is a simple decision to make, of course, but investors are falling over each other to make the wrong choice.
"Youre getting 1.5% uplift from three-month bank money to 30-year Indonesian risk," says Stephen Williams, co-head of global capital markets, Asia-Pacific, at HSBC. "Its probably not where it should be."
Thats quite an understatement, but here is another anomaly. In February, the State Bank of India issued tier 1 capital in the form of a $400 million perpetual non-call 10.25-year bond. Paying...