The money network:

The money network:

Why crowdfunding threatens traditional bank lending

Euromoney’s 2012 FX survey results

Euromoney’s 2012 FX survey results

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December 2006

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  • The column has settled down nicely Lee, and it provides a very good balance between humour and market-relevant information. I look forward to reading it each Friday. keep up the good work.
    Best Regards
    'Tipo'


    08 Dec 2006 14:49

  • Bible-driven trading: Fantastic idea.
    How about Torah-trading, Quran-trading, Bhagvadgita-trading etc.
    We could set up a system to decide whose God was most right.


    08 Dec 2006 15:12

    Author: johnwark

  • If you search for 'Jesus and the money changers' in Wikepedia the first link at the bottom of the page in the See Also section is:

    Foreign Exchange Market

    Clever search algorithims or the Lord moving in mysterious ways?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jesus_and_the_Money_Changers


    08 Dec 2006 15:38

  • Lee, Beagle also had another foolproof trading strategy....it related to page 3 of The Sun and hinged on whether or not the photograph had been taken in a warm studio !

    11 Dec 2006 11:13

  • As the old adage goes, 'Markets can go down as well as up'; and we must make investment decisions with care and due diligence. As such, I am pleased to note that Beagle, in addition to using biblical references, is known to have used empirically proven methods to ensure perfect predictions every time. Any fule kno' that temperature change and its effect on the body of a page 3 model is the only way to be sure of making the most difficult and serious of investment decisions. Keep up the good work, Beagle!

    11 Dec 2006 15:14

    Author: Trevor

  • After these examples, and the old Monkey Portfolio experiment(actually outperformed more than 85% of the US fund managers and beat the major indices in the US)...is there going to come a time when all financial speculation is done on the toss of a coin?
    LuckyMoney


    11 Dec 2006 15:26


Dealing with God

The reasons behind the initiation of an FX position are almost as diverse as the participants in the market itself. Some believe that technical analysis is the only true way to trade FX; others believe that yield alone drives rates. Over the years, I’ve come across other beliefs. One dealer used to take cable positions on the basis of which way a crane he could see out of the window was pointing. We had a period when we traded on whether the tide was in or out. It should come as no surprise to hear of a company that bases its trading decisions on what it says is contained in the Bible.


When is a net not a net?

Dealing with God

Lies, damned lies and corporate communications

Rawlins says goodbye to cycling as he takes a new option

Hedge trimming

It’s all for chariddee

People moves: Premium subscribers only (Level 2)

When is a net not a net?

Word reaches me that a new netting system aimed initially at foreign exchange prime brokers (PBs) is about to be unveiled by EBS and Traiana.

The service has the working name of NetLink and has apparently been developed in response to customer demand. It is no secret that many in the industry are moaning about the cost of processing tickets through CLS even though – as I reported a couple of weeks ago – the settlement utility has taken steps to lower its charges. Pre-netting trades is seen as an obvious way of reducing costs.

There is a certain amount of irony in EBS’s involvement, given that its successful FXNet business was effectively destroyed by the advent of CLS, which – as readers of this column will be fully awareonly accepts trades on a gross basis. EBS’s move could perhaps be seen as a protective measure should FXMarketSpace, the Reuters and CME joint venture, ever get the go-ahead to pre-net trades through CME clearing. In other words, it would ensure that the virtual clearinghouse made up by PBs mimics a true exchange-like central counterparty even more closely.

I’m led to believe that CLS has indicated that it has no objection to NetLink. This strikes me as odd and, perhaps, even unfair towards FXMarketSpace. Because of time, I haven’t been able to check with CLS what its view is, but I will do so and report further. But what I hear is that the service will initially focus on the flotsam – or small ticket trades – that clog up banks’ back offices and that supposedly aren’t settled through CLS anyway. Apparently there is a view that netting them down may even result in greater volume ending up with CLS and not affect its existing business. 

NetLink will work by netting trades done on EBS Prime at pre-defined times throughout the day. The netted deals will be published to the PB’s back office either as a single ticket or as payment records. More on this can be found in the January edition of Euromoney.

Dealing with God

The reasons behind the initiation of an FX position are almost as diverse as the numerous participants in the market itself. Some believe that technical analysis is the only true way to trade FX; others believe a macro economic view is king, while some will swear that it is yield, and yield alone, that drives rates.

Over the years, I’ve come across other, more esoteric beliefs. Some time ago, a dealer at Barclays nicknamed Beagle apparently used to take cable positions on the basis of which way a crane he could see out of the window was pointing. At Midland, we did have a period when we traded on whether the Thames’ tide was in or out. In short, there is something for everyone, so it should come as no surprise to hear of a company, Market Speculators, that bases its trading decisions on what it says is contained in the Bible.

In its detailed and open disclosure document, Market Speculators outlines its views: “The managing members of Market Speculators LLC have believed that biblical principles referenced in the King James Version of the Bible are the correct basis for trading system development.”

Now I must confess that I’m pretty ignorant about matters theological. Sure, most of us know the story of how Jesus kicked the money changers out of the temple. To me, this suggests two things. Trading money is, perhaps, the second oldest profession in the world and it is not something that the devout are necessarily inclined to indulge in.

But according to Peter Apfelbacher, one of the company’s founders, my interpretation is wrong. “Regarding the biblical story of the moneychangers’ tables being overthrown, there was more to it than most people have likely been aware of. In the Old Testament, people were to bring sin offerings to the priest and the priest would then offer the sacrifice up to the Lord. Since all people have sin, if we were all serving the Lord, we would have a lot of sin offerings to offer up regularly. The moneychangers took advantage of this by making a profit off that fact by selling sin offerings. This displeased Jesus Christ because the moneychangers promoted sin for the cause of making a profit. Therefore, the biblical definition of a moneychanger is not someone who exchanges money for money but rather sold animals to be offered up for sacrifice,” he explained to me.

Market Speculators says it has capacity to manage $750 million. At the moment, its fund has assets of around $2,000, which suggests that it is going to have to turn a lot of water into wine, if you will forgive such a lame attempt at humour. I do wish them luck, as markets are made richer by a greater diversity of participants. But investors will no doubt be wary that funds can go down as well as up in value. Or to put it another way, the Lord giveth, but he also taketh away.

Lies, damned lies and corporate communications

Over the last week, I have thrown my toys out of the pram three times as a result of having to deal with corporate communication departments. No one appreciates being given the run around. My policy is to check stories out by calling the institution or individual concerned and asking them to comment. As I have mentioned, if they decline that privilege, I consult my editor and then we make a decision whether or not to publish.

I’ve mentioned before that I was thinking about having a new award for the worst PR or corp comms individual. My editor, who is a bit of a cricket fan, has suggested that we call this the “Ashley Giles Award for Worst Spinner”, after one of England’s hapless bowlers. At the moment, a certain institution is way out in front for trying to pull the wool over our eyes. This company is about to rebrand its FX offering. No doubt it will start inundating me with loads of puff pieces over the next few months. I have been prohibited from telling it what it can do with them.

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