China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

The money network:

The money network:

Why crowdfunding threatens traditional bank lending

December 2006

Bond markets: Local-currency opportunities

While credit is one source of alpha for emerging markets investors, another is local currencies and bonds. For mainstream emerging markets funds, moreover, investing in local-currency securities is easier and, arguably, more sensible than taking exposure in credit instruments, where liquidity is at premium.


Investors bet on emerging market alpha As external debt markets are shrinking, local-currency bond markets are growing. This is partly being driven by bond exchanges as sovereign borrowers reduce their external debt for local-currency issues. Rapid development of domestic pension funds and other local investor bases is also acting as a spur. Another big influence is “soaring demand from foreign investors,” according to Mike Conelius, emerging markets portfolio manager at T Rowe Price. Many of these buyers are long-term institutional investors, such as pension funds and insurers. “According to the IMF,” adds Conelius, “institutional investors have moved as much as 10% of their emerging market exposure into emerging market local-currency instruments compared with minimal exposure three years ago.” Certain...


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