| Headline: Analysts see little sign of sovereign risk contagion - Economic projections methodology Source: Euromoney Date: September 2001 Euromoney received replies from 31 economists at leading financial and economic institutions. They gave each country’s economic performance for 2001 and 2002 a score out of 100. The world’s fastest-growing, best-performing economy in an ideal year would score 100; the worst economy in a disastrous year would score zero. Respondents were asked to consider economic growth, monetary stability, current-account, budget deficit or surplus, unemployment and structural imbalances. Economists also gave their GNP growth forecasts for 2001 and 2002. Countries which received no votes were excluded from this table. Our thanks go to the 38 political analysts and economists who took part in our surveys. Those who did not wish to remain anonymous were: Dr. Michael O'Leary, The PRS Group; Bernard Butticker, UBS AG; Conrad Schuller, Erste Bank; Francis Nicollas, Credit Lyonnais; Gregor Eder/Claudia Henke, Dresdner Bank; John Krijgsman, CIBC; Luigi Ruggerone, Banca Commerciale Italiana; Sruti Patel, Afrinvest; CSFB; Terry Dunn, Aleb Project; Ian Leung, Dun & Bradstreet; Ewoud Schuitemaker, ABN Armo; Dr. Thierry Apoteker, TAC; Subhash Agrawal, India Focus; Gloria Ho, Bank of East Asia; Daniel Skubik, IL &PRC; Jochen Teufel, GZ-Bank AG; Ioannis Monastiriotas, Alpha Bank AE; Helmut Bernkopf, Banka Romania; David Twigg, Barclays; Hassan Abdul-Ghani, Gulf International Bank; Richard Tull, LTP Trade Plc. |