Country risk survey monitoring political and economic stability of countries around the globe
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September 2000

Country risk Sep 2000: Waiting for the dust to settle


It has been a busy year for presidential and parliamentary elections - and coup attempts. Throw in worker unrest (Peru, Ecuador, Ghana), violent separatism in Indonesia and looming emerging market elections and it would be wise to expect big changes in Euromoney’s first Country Risk ranking in 2001. Keri Geiger reports


For historical country risk data please visit the Euromoney Country risk website

A surge in political unrest throughout Africa has brought several of its states crashing down in the latest country risk rankings.Swaziland (117), Togo (143), Mali (147) and Niger (155) have all dropped over 30 places and Tanzania (141) is down 28, indicating that something is not right on the African continent. Africa has never been noted for political stability, but falls like this indicate that analysts are paying closer attention to just how unstable these countries can be. Investors may be turning their backs on states threatened with continual ethnic and religious conflict, and coups d’états because of weak central governments, and dangerously corrupt militaries. “It’s political risk and the psychological contagion factor,” says Mike O’Leary, director of the Political Risk Group (PRS). “Because of really horrendous conditions in some headline countries such as Zimbabwe, the whole regions...

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