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China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

May 1997

Middle East: Time to bring the money home


If Arab states are to build industrialized trading economies on their oil wealth they will need internationally accessible capital markets trading a full range of financial instruments. Without these, Arab funds abroad - let alone foreign capital - are unlikely to flow in. Nigel Dudley reports.


Belatedly, Gulf states are realizing that a financial revolution is required - involving governments, regulatory authorities and banks - if the region is to be competitive in a market-driven global economy. There are signs of a readiness to create a regional capital market and to examine the size and role of Arab banks in a world increasingly dominated by massively capitalized financial institutions.

The traditional approach of protected trading markets and closed financial markets is becoming unsustainable because of the revolution in international business. The most recent General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (Gatt) settlement dealt a blow to those bodies, including the European Union and the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), that wanted to establish protected markets. Local bankers say that if the Gulf states wish to diversify their economies away from oil by selling downstream products and industrial goods, they will eventually have to offer reciprocal access to products imported from...


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