September 1998

The madness of fixed exchange rates: The spectre of intervention


Only floating exchange rates will allow the world to steer between the Scylla of capital controls and the Charybdis of recurrent financial crisis and wealth destruction, argues Bernard Connolly.


Global capital turns nasty
Too many risks, too few rewards
Capitalism and serfdom
Can the IMF play supercop?
Throwing good money after bad
A breathing space for the IMF

Monetary historians cite "unusually favourable political circumstances" to explain the emergence of the classical gold standard. Its demise, four decades later, was the direct result of unusually unfavourable political circumstances , the outbreak of World War 1. Was there any connection between the monetary regime and the slide to war? What lessons are there for today's world of restored global capitalism, a world in many ways reminiscent of the late 19th century? The most striking is that the maintenance of a world cap- italist order is incompatible with fixed exchange rates.

The classical gold standard worked relatively well for many of the "emerging markets" of the day, at least for those marked by political stability and English-based legal systems (the British Dominions...


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