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China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

May 1999

Default rules in black and white


The prospect of sovereign bond defaults in emerging markets has focused attention on the legal documentation. Christopher Stoakes explains why.


Something curious is happening in the financial markets. The finer points of bond and loan documentation are usually the preserve of those bankers responsible for execution, in-house lawyers and the law firms that advise them. Rarely does the debate attract wider interest. But in the wake of recent sovereign bond defaults, there have been calls for changes in the underlying documentation to facilitate the restructuring process.

The reason for this is not hard to fathom. In the 1980s, when the modern approach to sovereign debt restructuring became established, most of the debt affected consisted of commercial bank loans. The structure of the syndicated loan with its agent bank and clearly identifiable syndicate members provided a framework by which creditors could, through a bank steering committee, establish a dialogue with the borrower.

In the 1990s, however the source of emerging-market funding switched from the loan market to bond markets. The international...


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